2018
Consensus and conflict among ecological forecasts of Zika virus outbreaks in the United States
Carlson C, Dougherty E, Boots M, Getz W, Ryan S. Consensus and conflict among ecological forecasts of Zika virus outbreaks in the United States. Scientific Reports 2018, 8: 4921. PMID: 29563545, PMCID: PMC5862882, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-22989-0.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2017
Making ecological models adequate
Getz W, Marshall C, Carlson C, Giuggioli L, Ryan S, Romañach S, Boettiger C, Chamberlain S, Larsen L, D’Odorico P, O’Sullivan D. Making ecological models adequate. Ecology Letters 2017, 21: 153-166. PMID: 29280332, DOI: 10.1111/ele.12893.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsEcological modelEcological structurePoor model performanceEnvironmental managementEcological studiesIrreversible impactsImproved modeling frameworkAssessment protocolModel performanceManagementModel elaborationControlled variable selectionProcess descriptionCoarse graining procedureModel's ability