Featured Publications
Surveillance for endemic infectious disease outbreaks: Adaptive sampling using profile likelihood estimation
Fairley M, Rao IJ, Brandeau ML, Qian GL, Gonsalves GS. Surveillance for endemic infectious disease outbreaks: Adaptive sampling using profile likelihood estimation. Statistics In Medicine 2022, 41: 3336-3348. PMID: 35527474, PMCID: PMC9283243, DOI: 10.1002/sim.9420.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Outbreaks in U.S. Migrant Detention Centers — A Vaccine-Preventable Cause of Health Inequity
Lo N, Gonsalves G. Outbreaks in U.S. Migrant Detention Centers — A Vaccine-Preventable Cause of Health Inequity. New England Journal Of Medicine 2023, 389: 679-681. PMID: 37602574, DOI: 10.1056/nejmp2304716.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchEstimated Testing, Tracing, and Vaccination Targets for Containment of the US Mpox Outbreak
Chitwood M, Kwon J, Savinkina A, Walker J, Bilinski A, Gonsalves G. Estimated Testing, Tracing, and Vaccination Targets for Containment of the US Mpox Outbreak. JAMA Network Open 2023, 6: e2250984. PMID: 36637825, PMCID: PMC9857202, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.50984.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2022
Monkeypox Emergency: Urgent Questions and Perspectives
Rothenburg S, Yang Z, Beard P, Sawyer S, Titanji B, Gonsalves G, Kindrachuk J. Monkeypox Emergency: Urgent Questions and Perspectives. Cell 2022, 185: 3279-3281. PMID: 35998628, PMCID: PMC9395144, DOI: 10.1016/j.cell.2022.08.002.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2018
Dynamics of the HIV outbreak and response in Scott County, IN, USA, 2011–15: a modelling study
Gonsalves GS, Crawford FW. Dynamics of the HIV outbreak and response in Scott County, IN, USA, 2011–15: a modelling study. The Lancet HIV 2018, 5: e569-e577. PMID: 30220531, PMCID: PMC6192548, DOI: 10.1016/s2352-3018(18)30176-0.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsDisease OutbreaksEpidemiological MonitoringHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceIndianaModels, StatisticalPublic HealthTime FactorsConceptsUndiagnosed HIV infectionHIV infectionUS National InstitutesHIV outbreakPublic health responseCase-finding rateNumber of infectionsNational InstituteHealth responseCumulative HIV incidenceHIV transmission ratesEarly public health responsesHarm reduction interventionsScott CountyPublic health emergencyHIV testingHIV incidenceHIV servicesUS CentersNascent epidemicsPrevention servicesInfectionDisease controlSame interventionDrug abuse
2016
Strategies to Prevent Cholera Introduction during International Personnel Deployments: A Computational Modeling Analysis Based on the 2010 Haiti Outbreak
Lewnard JA, Antillón M, Gonsalves G, Miller AM, Ko AI, Pitzer VE. Strategies to Prevent Cholera Introduction during International Personnel Deployments: A Computational Modeling Analysis Based on the 2010 Haiti Outbreak. PLOS Medicine 2016, 13: e1001947. PMID: 26812236, PMCID: PMC4727895, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001947.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsOral cholera vaccineProbability of casesAntimicrobial chemoprophylaxisCholera vaccineOral cholera vaccinationAntimicrobial regimensProphylactic efficacyAsymptomatic carriageCholera vaccinationAsymptomatic carriersIncidence rateLargest cholera epidemicCholera epidemicChemoprophylaxisCholera incidence ratesFalse-positive test outcomesVaccinationFirst weekDiagnostic screeningAntimicrobial chemotherapyHaiti cholera epidemicIntervention strategiesVaccineIndependent panelCholera importation