2023
Open data for COVID-19 policy analysis and mapping
Katz R, Toole K, Robertson H, Case A, Kerr J, Robinson-Marshall S, Schermerhorn J, Orsborn S, Van Maele M, Zimmerman R, Stevens T, Phelan A, Carlson C, Graeden E. Open data for COVID-19 policy analysis and mapping. Scientific Data 2023, 10: 491. PMID: 37500627, PMCID: PMC10374886, DOI: 10.1038/s41597-023-02398-3.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPolicy analysisMap of policiesWhole-of-governmentPolitical sciencePolicy typesGovernance strategiesImplement policiesPolicy measuresPolicy textsPolicySocial distancing measuresGovernmentPandemic responseLegal epidemiologyCOVID-19 pandemicLocal areaCOVID-19Open dataData sourcesCountriesJurisdictionsCoronavirus sampling and surveillance in bats from 1996–2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Cohen L, Fagre A, Chen B, Carlson C, Becker D. Coronavirus sampling and surveillance in bats from 1996–2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Nature Microbiology 2023, 8: 1176-1186. PMID: 37231088, PMCID: PMC10234814, DOI: 10.1038/s41564-023-01375-1.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2022
Present and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health
Muylaert R, Kingston T, Luo J, Vancine M, Galli N, Carlson C, John R, Rulli M, Hayman D. Present and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health. Proceedings Of The Royal Society B 2022, 289: 20220397. PMID: 35611534, PMCID: PMC9130791, DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2022.0397.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLoss of population connectivityPredictors of species distributionsReservoirs of diverse virusesBiodiversity extinction crisisProject future scenariosModel current distributionHotspots shiftLandscape relationshipsLocal extinctionSpecies distributionHuman encroachmentExtinction crisisSARS-like virusesPopulation connectivityTemperature seasonalityNatural habitatsGlobal changeHost distributionEcological nichesFuture scenariosBat hostsHotspotsDiverse virusesViral spilloverHuman populationAssessing the risk of human‐to‐wildlife pathogen transmission for conservation and public health
Fagre A, Cohen L, Eskew E, Farrell M, Glennon E, Joseph M, Frank H, Ryan S, Carlson C, Albery G. Assessing the risk of human‐to‐wildlife pathogen transmission for conservation and public health. Ecology Letters 2022, 25: 1534-1549. PMID: 35318793, PMCID: PMC9313783, DOI: 10.1111/ele.14003.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNon-human primatesPathogen transmissionThreatened animalsThreaten conservationHuman healthRisk assessmentHuman pathogensPrimatesIncreasing concernSampling biasPublic healthConservationTransmission of pathogensDocumented examplesPathogensEvidence of sampling biasTransmission eventsHuman parasitesWildlifeOptimising predictive models to prioritise viral discovery in zoonotic reservoirs
Becker D, Albery G, Sjodin A, Poisot T, Bergner L, Chen B, Cohen L, Dallas T, Eskew E, Fagre A, Farrell M, Guth S, Han B, Simmons N, Stock M, Teeling E, Carlson C. Optimising predictive models to prioritise viral discovery in zoonotic reservoirs. The Lancet Microbe 2022, 3: e625-e637. PMID: 35036970, PMCID: PMC8747432, DOI: 10.1016/s2666-5247(21)00245-7.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSystematic model validationTrait-based modelsHost-virus associationsBat hostsHost ecologyWildlife samplesBat speciesNovel hostsSampling recommendationsBridge hostsWildlifeWildlife reservoirsTarget prioritisationBatsStatistical modelMachine learning modelsModel performanceViral discoveryProcess of predictionAnalytical pipelinePrediction modelBetacoronavirusLearning modelsEcologyEnsemble model
2021
The future of zoonotic risk prediction
Carlson C, Farrell M, Grange Z, Han B, Mollentze N, Phelan A, Rasmussen A, Albery G, Bett B, Brett-Major D, Cohen L, Dallas T, Eskew E, Fagre A, Forbes K, Gibb R, Halabi S, Hammer C, Katz R, Kindrachuk J, Muylaert R, Nutter F, Ogola J, Olival K, Rourke M, Ryan S, Ross N, Seifert S, Sironen T, Standley C, Taylor K, Venter M, Webala P. The future of zoonotic risk prediction. Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society B Biological Sciences 2021, 376: 20200358. PMID: 34538140, PMCID: PMC8450624, DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0358.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2020
A choice between two futures for pandemic recovery
Carlson C, Phelan A. A choice between two futures for pandemic recovery. The Lancet Planetary Health 2020, 4: e545-e546. PMID: 33278368, PMCID: PMC7713705, DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(20)30245-x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMisconceptions about weather and seasonality must not misguide COVID-19 response
Carlson C, Gomez A, Bansal S, Ryan S. Misconceptions about weather and seasonality must not misguide COVID-19 response. Nature Communications 2020, 11: 4312. PMID: 32855406, PMCID: PMC7452887, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18150-z.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchDon’t gamble the COVID-19 response on ecological hypotheses
Carlson C, Chipperfield J, Benito B, Telford R, O’Hara R. Don’t gamble the COVID-19 response on ecological hypotheses. Nature Ecology & Evolution 2020, 4: 1155-1155. PMID: 32728188, DOI: 10.1038/s41559-020-1279-2.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSpecies distribution models are inappropriate for COVID-19
Carlson C, Chipperfield J, Benito B, Telford R, O’Hara R. Species distribution models are inappropriate for COVID-19. Nature Ecology & Evolution 2020, 4: 770-771. PMID: 32377007, DOI: 10.1038/s41559-020-1212-8.Peer-Reviewed Original Research