By 2034, for the first time in U.S. history, people over the age of 65 will outnumber those under age 18, posing an unprecedented challenge to the American health care system. Understanding the role of aging in disease and infirmity is an urgent priority for mitigating the impact of this major demographic shift.
While growing older can benefit both individuals and society, aging itself is the biggest risk factor for nearly every chronic disease, including heart disease, cancer, Alzheimer’s disease, and chronic kidney disease. All these conditions can significantly lower one’s quality of life—but learning how to prevent each of them separately is like playing a frustrating game of whack-a-mole. “If you cured cancer tomorrow, the average life expectancy would probably go up only by a couple of years,” says Albert Higgins-Chen, MD, PhD, assistant professor of psychiatry.
The gain in life expectancy is limited because even if clinicians successfully prevent cancer in a given individual, slow deterioration across organ systems will continue if left unaddressed, so that patient is likely to end up battling a different chronic disease. “If you’re trying to put out an increasing number of forest fires one by one as they pop up, you’re fighting a losing battle if you aren’t addressing the climate change that’s driving the increased fires,” says Higgins-Chen.
Now, the burgeoning field of geroscience is exploring the processes underlying aging itself with the goal of simultaneously preventing many chronic diseases before their onset. New technologies enable scientists to better assess a person’s risk of developing disease and identify appropriate interventions for future clinical trials. Researchers are learning more about how such devastating chronic diseases as cancer develop, as well as how natural physiological processes like pregnancy affect the way in which someone ages. The new field’s ultimate goal is not only to help ensure that people live longer, but also to maintain their health and vitality in their final decades.
“If we maintain the same rate of age-specific disability that we have now, we will be facing a tsunami of health care needs that we will not be able to meet,” says Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD, scientific director of the NIH’s National Institute on Aging and Yale School of Medicine’s first visiting director of geroscience. “[Studying aging] is not only important, but the only hope we have.”