2023
Summary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories
Levy D, Tam J, Jeon J, Holford T, Fleischer N, Meza R. Summary and Concluding Remarks: Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s72-s79. PMID: 36935130, PMCID: PMC11193149, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.007.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRace/ethnicitySmoking patternsCohort methodologyTobacco control strategiesMortality RRSmoking historyMiddle-income countriesWorking GroupSmoking trendsHealth disparitiesCancer interventionTobacco controlCohort approachPublic healthEducation groupFamily incomeGroupEthnicitySociodemographic analysisSmokingEducational attainmentUsing the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective
Tam J, Levy D, Feuer E, Jeon J, Holford T, Meza R. Using the Past to Understand the Future of U.S. and Global Smoking Disparities: A Birth Cohort Perspective. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s1-s10. PMID: 36781373, PMCID: PMC10033336, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.003.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPatterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil
Tam J, Jaffri M, Mok Y, Jeon J, Szklo A, Souza M, Holford T, Levy D, Cao P, Sánchez-Romero L, Meza R. Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s63-s71. PMID: 36775755, PMCID: PMC10240503, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.002.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMean cigarettesBirth cohortSmoker prevalenceSmoking patternsLong-term health outcomesGlobal Adult Tobacco SurveyAdult Tobacco SurveyNational Health SurveyStronger tobacco control policiesTobacco control policiesSmoking historySmoking cessationPublic health decisionsSmoking prevalenceRisk factorsChronic diseasesHealth SurveyTobacco useSmoking initiationHealth outcomesFemale cohortCohortTobacco SurveyTelephone interviewsSmoking parametersSmoking Histories by State in the U.S.
Holford T, McKay L, Jeon J, Tam J, Cao P, Fleischer N, Levy D, Meza R. Smoking Histories by State in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s42-s52. PMID: 36653233, PMCID: PMC11186469, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.08.018.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPack yearsSmoking historySmoking prevalenceBirth cohortSmoking initiationNational Health Interview SurveyMean smoking durationHealth Interview SurveyTobacco Use SupplementRecent birth cohortsTobacco control policiesCessation probabilitiesCigarette smokingSmoking trendsSmoking durationSmoking ratesState-specific trendsPrevalenceTobacco controlInterview SurveyCohortCessationDurationInitiationYearsBirth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Patterns by Family Income in the U.S.
Jeon J, Cao P, Fleischer N, Levy D, Holford T, Meza R, Tam J. Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Patterns by Family Income in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s32-s41. PMID: 36653231, PMCID: PMC11186479, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.07.019.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsFederal poverty levelBirth cohortSmoking patternsSmoking prevalenceFamily incomeRecent cohortsRecent birth cohortsHigh-income groupsCessation probabilitiesLower cessationPoverty levelCohortMore recent cohortsSmoking disparitiesPrevalenceIncome groupsIntervention strategiesCohort modelOlder cohortGreater declineLevel groupLow-income individualsCessationCohort differencesFuture studiesPatterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories by Race and Ethnicity in the U.S.
Meza R, Cao P, Jeon J, Fleischer N, Holford T, Levy D, Tam J. Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories by Race and Ethnicity in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s11-s21. PMID: 36653232, PMCID: PMC10362802, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.06.022.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAmerican IndiansBlack populationCessation probabilitiesNative populationsRace/ethnicityNon-Hispanic white populationNon-Hispanic black populationPacific IslandersBirth cohortNon-Hispanic whitesAlaskan Native populationsWhite populationSmoking prevalenceIndiansNational Health Interview SurveyU.S. smoking prevalenceAlaskan NativesPatterns of smokingHealth Interview SurveyNon-Hispanic blacksIslandersNative individualsNon-Hispanic AsiansNativesSmoking historySmoking Disparities by Level of Educational Attainment and Birth Cohort in the U.S.
Cao P, Jeon J, Tam J, Fleischer N, Levy D, Holford T, Meza R. Smoking Disparities by Level of Educational Attainment and Birth Cohort in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s22-s31. PMID: 36935129, PMCID: PMC10177656, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.06.021.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsBirth cohortSmoking patternsRecent cohortsEducation groupCurrent smoking prevalenceEducation levelGrade educationCessation probabilitiesSmoking prevalenceTobacco useLow prevalenceCohortSmoking disparitiesDemographic characteristicsPrevalenceCohort modelCollege degreeCalendar yearDemographic factorsCessationGroupSpecial considerationDisparitiesIndividualsImportant differences
2019
CP*Trends: An Online Tool for Comparing Cohort and Period Trends Across Cancer Sites
Holford TR, Chen HS, Annett D, Krapcho M, Dorogaeva A, Feuer EJ. CP*Trends: An Online Tool for Comparing Cohort and Period Trends Across Cancer Sites. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2019, 188: 1361-1370. PMID: 30989187, PMCID: PMC6601534, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwz089.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsColorectal cancer incidenceCancer incidenceCancer sitesContribution of periodMale prostate cancerEnd Results (SEER) dataStudy of etiologyFemale lungCancer mortalityBronchial cancerProstate cancerCohortDisease controlRelevant exposuresIncidenceAge shiftLungCancerMortalityP scoreAgeResult dataPeriod trendsPeriodPercentage of deviance
2018
Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach.
Jeon J, Holford TR, Levy DT, Feuer EJ, Cao P, Tam J, Clarke L, Clarke J, Kong CY, Meza R. Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2018, 169: 684-693. PMID: 30304504, PMCID: PMC6242740, DOI: 10.7326/m18-1250.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer mortalityTobacco control effortsCancer mortalityLung cancer ratesLung cancerCancer ratesLung cancer burdenLung cancer deathsLung cancer screeningSmoking-related diseasesU.S. populationNational Cancer InstituteLonger life expectancyCancer burdenSmoking patternsCancer deathCessation effortsCancer screeningTobacco useCancer InstituteSmokingAdditional preventionNatural historyMortalityCancerA spatiotemporal back‐calculation approach to estimate cancer incidence measures
Nautiyal N, Holford TR. A spatiotemporal back‐calculation approach to estimate cancer incidence measures. Statistics In Medicine 2018, 37: 4472-4489. PMID: 30155939, DOI: 10.1002/sim.7934.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2016
Comparison of Smoking History Patterns Among African American and White Cohorts in the United States Born 1890 to 1990.
Holford TR, Levy DT, Meza R. Comparison of Smoking History Patterns Among African American and White Cohorts in the United States Born 1890 to 1990. Nicotine & Tobacco Research 2016, 18 Suppl 1: s16-29. PMID: 26980861, PMCID: PMC5009449, DOI: 10.1093/ntr/ntv274.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNational Health Interview SurveySmoking-related diseasesSmoking historyHealth Interview SurveySurgeon General's ReportBirth cohortCessation probabilitiesSmoking intensityAfrican AmericansUS National Health Interview SurveyInterview SurveyNumber of cigarettesHigh smoking prevalenceLower cessation ratesCurrent smoking behaviorLife course exposuresAdverse health effectsLower cessationSmoking exposureCessation ratesSmoking prevalenceHigh prevalenceGeneral's ReportSmoking behaviorYounger ageSpatiotemporal calibration and resolution refinement of output from deterministic models
Gilani O, McKay LA, Gregoire TG, Guan Y, Leaderer BP, Holford TR. Spatiotemporal calibration and resolution refinement of output from deterministic models. Statistics In Medicine 2016, 35: 2422-2440. PMID: 26790617, DOI: 10.1002/sim.6867.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsGrid-cell formatCurrent calibration techniquesSpatiotemporal calibrationModeling strategyCommunity Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modelAir quality modelsMultiscale Air Quality modelCalibration techniqueObserved measurementsPixel sizeSpatial resolutionGrid dataMonitoring stationsQuality modelDeterministic modelRegular gridAmbient nitrogen dioxide concentrationsDaily estimatesMeasurementsProcess of interestGridNitrogen dioxide concentrationsProcessPixelsDioxide concentration
2015
Age‐Period‐Cohort approaches to back‐calculation of cancer incidence rate
Oh C, Holford TR. Age‐Period‐Cohort approaches to back‐calculation of cancer incidence rate. Statistics In Medicine 2015, 34: 1953-1964. PMID: 25715831, PMCID: PMC4980760, DOI: 10.1002/sim.6464.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCancer incidence ratesEstimates of incidenceHealth care planningCancer deathLung cancerCancer prevalenceCancer incidenceIncidence rateHealthy subjectsCare planningSurvival informationMortality statisticsCancerIncidence casesIncidenceAge periodDeathSubjectsCompartment modelCohortMortalityPrevalence
2014
Proximity to Natural Gas Wells and Reported Health Status: Results of a Household Survey in Washington County, Pennsylvania
Rabinowitz PM, Slizovskiy IB, Lamers V, Trufan SJ, Holford TR, Dziura JD, Peduzzi PN, Kane MJ, Reif JS, Weiss TR, Stowe MH. Proximity to Natural Gas Wells and Reported Health Status: Results of a Household Survey in Washington County, Pennsylvania. Environmental Health Perspectives 2014, 123: 21-26. PMID: 25204871, PMCID: PMC4286272, DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1307732.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHealth symptomsUpper respiratory symptomsPublic health impactRespiratory symptomsNeurological symptomsSymptom SurveyRespiratory conditionsSkin conditionsHypothesis generatingHealth statusSymptomsFurther studiesGastrointestinal conditionsHealth impactsHousehold educationPrevalenceWashington CountyHousehold proximityPersonsSmokingWater exposureHousehold surveyWork typePatterns of Birth Cohort–Specific Smoking Histories, 1965–2009
Holford TR, Levy DT, McKay LA, Clarke L, Racine B, Meza R, Land S, Jeon J, Feuer EJ. Patterns of Birth Cohort–Specific Smoking Histories, 1965–2009. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2014, 46: e31-e37. PMID: 24439359, PMCID: PMC3951759, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2013.10.022.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSmoking historyBirth cohortU.S. National Health Interview SurveyNational Health Interview SurveySmoking-related mortalityHealth Interview SurveyTobacco control interventionsCurrent smoking behaviorAge-specific distributionSmoking statusSmoking patternsSmoking intensitySurvival differencesSmoking behaviorCohortControl interventionsDifferent birth cohortsDate of surveyInterview SurveyIntervention strategiesCohort modelSmokersAgePrevalenceSlow declineTobacco Control and the Reduction in Smoking-Related Premature Deaths in the United States, 1964-2012
Holford TR, Meza R, Warner KE, Meernik C, Jeon J, Moolgavkar SH, Levy DT. Tobacco Control and the Reduction in Smoking-Related Premature Deaths in the United States, 1964-2012. JAMA 2014, 311: 164-171. PMID: 24399555, PMCID: PMC4056770, DOI: 10.1001/jama.2013.285112.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsEffect of smokingAge 40 yearsSmoking-related mortalityYears of lifeTobacco controlPremature deathSmoking historySmoking-related premature deathsNational Health Interview SurveyCigarette smoking exposureSmoking-related deathsCigarette smoking historyFirst Surgeon General's reportLife expectancyMortality rate ratiosNational mortality ratesUS adult populationHealth Interview SurveyOverall health outcomesSurgeon General's ReportPublic health achievementsSmoking exposurePrimary outcomeSmoking statusCigarette smoking
2012
Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model
Holford TR, Ebisu K, McKay L, Oh C, Zheng T. Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s151-s165. PMID: 22882886, PMCID: PMC3662537, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01754.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer deathsCarcinogenesis modelCancer deathLung cancer incidenceLung cancer modelTwo-stage clonal expansion modelCigarette smokingCancer incidenceCancer modelTobacco controlClonal expansion modelPopulation ratesCohort modelSmokingDeathHarmful effectsPopulation dataTemporal trendsMortalityObserved numberIncidenceControlChapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control
Holford TR, Clark L. Chapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s39-s50. PMID: 22882891, PMCID: PMC3490210, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01759.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTobacco controlNational Health Interview SurveyLung cancer mortalityNumber of cigarettesLung cancer modelHealth Interview SurveySurveillance Modeling NetworkSurgeon General's ReportSmoking historyCessation ratesCigarette smokingCancer mortalityCancer modelCancer interventionInterview SurveySmokingPublic healthCigarettesReportControl programsGeneral's ReportControlMortalityWomenChapter 14: Comparing the Adequacy of Carcinogenesis Models in Estimating U.S. Population Rates for Lung Cancer Mortality
Holford TR, Levy DT. Chapter 14: Comparing the Adequacy of Carcinogenesis Models in Estimating U.S. Population Rates for Lung Cancer Mortality. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s179-s189. PMID: 22882888, PMCID: PMC3478769, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01734.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer mortalityCancer mortalityCarcinogenesis modelLung cancer mortality ratesU.S. population ratesEffect of smokingCancer Prevention StudyCancer mortality ratesPopulation ratesTwo-stage clonal expansion modelEffect of ageSmoking trendsLung cancerPrevention StudyEstimates of riskMortality rateClonal expansionClonal expansion modelCohort modelSmokingIndividual cohortsCohortMortalityU.S. malesTemporal trendsImpact of Reduced Tobacco Smoking on Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States During 1975–2000
Moolgavkar SH, Holford TR, Levy DT, Kong CY, Foy M, Clarke L, Jeon J, Hazelton WD, Meza R, Schultz F, McCarthy W, Boer R, Gorlova O, Gazelle GS, Kimmel M, McMahon PM, de Koning HJ, Feuer EJ. Impact of Reduced Tobacco Smoking on Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States During 1975–2000. Journal Of The National Cancer Institute 2012, 104: 541-548. PMID: 22423009, PMCID: PMC3317881, DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djs136.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer deathsLung cancer mortalityCancer deathSmoking behaviorCancer mortalityMajor public health problemTobacco controlPublic health problemTobacco control strategiesNumber of deathsSmoking historyTobacco smokingLung cancerGroups of investigatorsBirth cohortHealth problemsFirst reportSmokingMortalityDeathUnited StatesWomenMenCohortCancer