2025
Preterm and early-term delivery after heat waves in eight US states: A case-crossover study using the High-resolution Urban Meteorology for Impacts Dataset (HUMID).
Fitch A, Huang M, Strickland M, Newman A, Kalb C, Warren J, Zheng X, Chang H, Darrow L. Preterm and early-term delivery after heat waves in eight US states: A case-crossover study using the High-resolution Urban Meteorology for Impacts Dataset (HUMID). Environmental Health Perspectives 2025 PMID: 40392097, DOI: 10.1289/ehp15953.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchEarly-term birthEarly-termAssociated with earlier birthEarly-term deliveryPreterm birth ORSingleton pretermPreterm birthPretermPooled ORHeat wavesPooled resultsOdds ratioInverse-variance weightingUrban meteorologyEarly birthBirthImpact datasetsMean temperatureElevated oddsThreshold categoriesVital recordsCase-crossover studyORAcute relationshipsSurface temperature data
2024
Communicating the Links between Climate Change and Heat Waves with the Climate Shift Index
Thomas-Walters L, Goldberg M, Lee S, Lyde A, Rosenthal S, Leiserowitz A. Communicating the Links between Climate Change and Heat Waves with the Climate Shift Index. Weather Climate And Society 2024, 16: 511-520. DOI: 10.1175/wcas-d-23-0147.1.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPreterm and Early-Term Delivery After Heat Waves in 50 US Metropolitan Areas
Darrow L, Huang M, Warren J, Strickland M, Holmes H, Newman A, Chang H. Preterm and Early-Term Delivery After Heat Waves in 50 US Metropolitan Areas. JAMA Network Open 2024, 7: e2412055. PMID: 38787560, PMCID: PMC11127119, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.12055.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsEarly-term birthPreterm birthCohort studyMetropolitan statistical areasAssociated with pregnancy outcomesEarly-term deliveryRate ratiosRates of pretermYears of ageNational Center for Health StatisticsGestational weeksCenter for Health StatisticsInduced deliveryPregnancy outcomesSingleton birthsPretermSocioeconomically disadvantaged subgroupsUS birthsEligible birthsPerinatal healthEthnic minority groupsBirth recordsConsecutive daysBirthHeat waves
2023
Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Silveira I, Cortes T, Bell M, Junger W. Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. PLOS ONE 2023, 18: e0283899. PMID: 37000782, PMCID: PMC10065291, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283899.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRespiratory mortalityOdds ratioDistributed lag non-linear modelCardiovascular mortalityIndividual-level exposuresHeat wave intensityCase-crossover studyConditional logistic regressionMunicipal Health DepartmentHeat wavesEffects of heat wavesHealth impacts of heat wavesHealth departmentsHealth resourcesDeath dataOlder peopleLow-incomeEffect estimatesOlder womenDefinition of heat wavesLogistic regressionEpidemiological evidenceMorbidity outcomesHeat wave daysHealth impacts
2022
Disentangling the mechanism of temperature and water vapor modulation on ozone under a warming climate
Zhang J, Gao Y, Leung L, Luo K, Wang M, Zhang Y, Bell M, Fan J. Disentangling the mechanism of temperature and water vapor modulation on ozone under a warming climate. Environmental Research Letters 2022, 17: 124032. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca3bc.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchAnthropogenic emission reductionsWater vaporWarming climateHeat wavesLarge anthropogenic emission reductionOzone precursor emissionsVariation of ozoneLow ozone daysTemperature increaseClimate penaltyWetter climateAnthropogenic emissionsDominant regimeAnnual ozoneWestern U.S.Precursor emissionsLarge emission reductionsContiguous U.S.Ozone daysOzone pollutionOzone concentrationsClimateSoutheastern U.S.OzoneAir qualityIsolating the modulation of mean warming and higher-order temperature changes on ozone in a changing climate over the contiguous United States
Zhang J, Gao Y, Leung L, Luo K, Wang M, Zhang Y, Bell M, Fan J. Isolating the modulation of mean warming and higher-order temperature changes on ozone in a changing climate over the contiguous United States. Environmental Research Letters 2022, 17: 094005. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8695.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMean warmingOzone exceedancesWestern U.S.Southeastern U.S.Climate changeTemperature changesKey meteorological parametersOzone concentration changesRegional modeling frameworkContiguous United StatesB2 scenarioSurface ozoneAir quality policiesFuture changesMeteorological parametersHeat wavesOzone concentrationsWarmingOzoneExceedanceModeling frameworkOpposite impactQuality policyConcentration changesA1B.
2021
A 1-km hourly air-temperature model for 13 northeastern U.S. states using remotely sensed and ground-based measurements
Carrión D, Arfer KB, Rush J, Dorman M, Rowland ST, Kioumourtzoglou MA, Kloog I, Just AC. A 1-km hourly air-temperature model for 13 northeastern U.S. states using remotely sensed and ground-based measurements. Environmental Research 2021, 200: 111477. PMID: 34129866, PMCID: PMC8403657, DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.111477.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAir temperature modelStatistical modelCoarse spatial resolutionSquare gridXGboost Machine Learning AlgorithmInterpolation of temperatureExample applicationHeat wavesTemperature modelAir temperatureSquare errorGrid cellsPrecise estimatesSatellite-based vegetationHourly modelSimilar accuracyWeighted rootGround-based measurementsWavesLand surface temperatureModel predictionsCross-validation schemeAmbient air temperatureMachine learning algorithmsError
2020
Nonlinear effect of compound extreme weather events on ozone formation over the United States
Gao Y, Zhang J, Yan F, Leung L, Luo K, Zhang Y, Bell M. Nonlinear effect of compound extreme weather events on ozone formation over the United States. Weather And Climate Extremes 2020, 30: 100285. DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100285.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSingle extreme eventsCompound eventsExtreme weather eventsHeat wavesExtreme eventsOzone enhancementEmission scenariosWeather eventsClimate changeB2 emission scenariosCompound extreme eventsFuture emission scenariosLow anthropogenic emissionsHigh ozone concentrationsOzone pollution controlAmplification effectWeather ResearchOverall warmingSensitivity experimentsAnthropogenic emissionsLocal environmental sustainabilityFuture periodsFuture emissions reductionsContiguous U.S.Ozone concentrations
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