Gregg Gonsalves, PhD
Associate Professor of Epidemiology (Microbial Diseases)Cards
About
Research
Overview
Medical Research Interests
Causality; Computer Simulation; Decision Making; Drug Approval; Drug Users; Hepatitis C; HIV; Operations Research; Political Systems; Prisoners; Public Policy; Social Determinants of Health; Social Justice; Social Medicine; Tuberculosis; United States Food and Drug Administration
Public Health Interests
Health Policy; Global Health; Health Care Management; Community Health; COVID-19; HIV/AIDS; Health Equity, Disparities, Social Determinants and Justice; Infectious Diseases; Modeling
Publications
Featured Publications
Estimating deaths averted and cost per life saved by scaling up mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in low-income and lower-middle-income countries in the COVID-19 Omicron variant era: a modelling study
Savinkina A, Bilinski A, Fitzpatrick M, Paltiel AD, Rizvi Z, Salomon J, Thornhill T, Gonsalves G. Estimating deaths averted and cost per life saved by scaling up mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in low-income and lower-middle-income countries in the COVID-19 Omicron variant era: a modelling study. BMJ Open 2022, 12: e061752. PMID: 36100306, PMCID: PMC9471205, DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-061752.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLow-income countriesIncome countriesDeath avertedHigh-income nationsStatistical lifeAvertable deathsIncome nationsCOVID-19 deathsReasonable investmentHigh costKey inputCountriesParameter estimatesAvertedCostSensitivity analysisUniversal vaccinationGlobal vaccinationMRNA COVID-19 vaccinationNationsInvestmentPrimary vaccine seriesLow vaccine effectivenessCOVID-19 vaccinationPublic dataSurveillance for endemic infectious disease outbreaks: Adaptive sampling using profile likelihood estimation
Fairley M, Rao IJ, Brandeau ML, Qian GL, Gonsalves GS. Surveillance for endemic infectious disease outbreaks: Adaptive sampling using profile likelihood estimation. Statistics In Medicine 2022, 41: 3336-3348. PMID: 35527474, PMCID: PMC9283243, DOI: 10.1002/sim.9420.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2025
Mpox vaccination strategies in DR Congo – Author's reply
Gonsalves G. Mpox vaccination strategies in DR Congo – Author's reply. The Lancet Global Health 2025, 13: e418. PMID: 40021299, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(25)00004-x.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2024
Four targets: an enhanced framework for guiding causal inference from observational data
Lu H, Li F, Lesko C, Fink D, Rudolph K, Harhay M, Rentsch C, Fiellin D, Gonsalves G. Four targets: an enhanced framework for guiding causal inference from observational data. International Journal Of Epidemiology 2024, 54: dyaf003. PMID: 39868475, PMCID: PMC11769716, DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyaf003.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchTrends in Opioid Use Disorder in the Veterans Health Administration, 2005-2022
Gorfinkel L, Malte C, Fink D, Mannes Z, Wall M, Olfson M, Livne O, Keyhani S, Keyes K, Martins S, Cerdá M, Gutkind S, Maynard C, Saxon A, Simpson T, Gonsalves G, Lu H, McDowell Y, Hasin D. Trends in Opioid Use Disorder in the Veterans Health Administration, 2005-2022. JAMA Network Open 2024, 7: e2451821. PMID: 39705031, PMCID: PMC11662256, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.51821.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsVeterans Health AdministrationOpioid use disorder diagnosisNon-Hispanic white patientsOpioid use disorderPrevalence of opioid use disorderCross-sectional studyHealth AdministrationVHA Corporate Data WarehouseVeterans Health Administration facilitiesElectronic health record dataNational Veterans Health AdministrationVeterans Health Administration patientsRecord dataNon-Hispanic Black patientsElectronic medical record dataContinued public health effortsWhite patientsHealth record dataPublic health effortsCorporate Data WarehouseMedical record dataMultivariate logistic regression modelUse disorderLogistic regression modelsBurden of opioid use disorderModelling vaccination approaches for mpox containment and mitigation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Savinkina A, Kindrachuk J, Bogoch I, Rimoin A, Hoff N, Shaw S, Pitzer V, Mbala-Kingebeni P, Gonsalves G. Modelling vaccination approaches for mpox containment and mitigation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The Lancet Global Health 2024, 12: e1936-e1944. PMID: 39393385, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(24)00384-x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchIntegrating testing volume into bandit algorithms for infectious disease surveillance
Warren J, Prunas O, Paltiel A, Thornhill T, Gonsalves G. Integrating testing volume into bandit algorithms for infectious disease surveillance. Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics In Society) 2024, qnae090. DOI: 10.1093/jrsssa/qnae090.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchA Reference framework for integrating advanced algorithms into decision support in a public health emergency
Malloy S, Rayo M, Quam M, Gonsalves G, Kline D. A Reference framework for integrating advanced algorithms into decision support in a public health emergency. Annals Of Epidemiology 2024, 97: 74. DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2024.07.092.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchThe evolution of selection bias in the recent epidemiologic literature—a selective overview
Lu H, Howe C, Zivich P, Gonsalves G, Westreich D. The evolution of selection bias in the recent epidemiologic literature—a selective overview. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2024, 194: 580-584. PMID: 39136207, PMCID: PMC11879605, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwae282.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchDéjà Vu All Over Again — Refusing to Learn the Lessons of Covid-19
Sinha M, Parmet W, Gonsalves G. Déjà Vu All Over Again — Refusing to Learn the Lessons of Covid-19. New England Journal Of Medicine 2024, 391: 481-483. PMID: 39047237, DOI: 10.1056/nejmp2406427.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
Academic Achievements & Community Involvement
News & Links
News
- February 13, 2025Source: New York Times
When ‘Just Asking Questions’ About Science Turns Into 300,000 Dead
- January 07, 2025
New Program Helps Students Listen with Compassion
- December 09, 2024Source: Science
Congo’s mpox crisis
- October 29, 2024Source: Medscape
Researchers Deploy Technology to Find High-Risk HIV Populations
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Academic Office
350 George Street, Ste 3rd Floor
New Haven, CT 06511