2023
Predictive power of wastewater for nowcasting infectious disease transmission: A retrospective case study of five sewershed areas in Louisville, Kentucky
Klaassen F, Holm R, Smith T, Cohen T, Bhatnagar A, Menzies N. Predictive power of wastewater for nowcasting infectious disease transmission: A retrospective case study of five sewershed areas in Louisville, Kentucky. Environmental Research 2023, 240: 117395. PMID: 37838198, PMCID: PMC10863376, DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117395.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDeath dataSurveillance dataSARS-CoV-2 casesClinical surveillance dataLow-resource settingsRetrospective case studyInfectious disease transmissionTrue infectionEpidemiologic dataSerosurvey dataDeath reportsTraditional surveillance dataDisease trendsInfectious diseasesWastewater dataDisease transmissionPredictive performance
2021
Evaluating the reliability of mobility metrics from aggregated mobile phone data as proxies for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the USA: a population-based study
Kishore N, Taylor AR, Jacob PE, Vembar N, Cohen T, Buckee CO, Menzies NA. Evaluating the reliability of mobility metrics from aggregated mobile phone data as proxies for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the USA: a population-based study. The Lancet Digital Health 2021, 4: e27-e36. PMID: 34740555, PMCID: PMC8563007, DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(21)00214-4.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSARS-CoV-2 transmissionPopulation-based studyLaboratory-confirmed casesSARS-CoV-2 pandemicSARS-CoV-2Non-pharmaceutical interventionsCOVID-19 transmissionCOVID-19 casesEpidemiological dataReproduction numberEffective reproduction numberHealth StatisticsEquity of accessEpidemic trajectoriesCOVID-19Public healthTransmission indicatorsPopulation levelContact patternsComparison of Estimated Effectiveness of Case-Based and Population-Based Interventions on COVID-19 Containment in Taiwan
Ng TC, Cheng HY, Chang HH, Liu CC, Yang CC, Jian SW, Liu DP, Cohen T, Lin HH. Comparison of Estimated Effectiveness of Case-Based and Population-Based Interventions on COVID-19 Containment in Taiwan. JAMA Internal Medicine 2021, 181: 913-921. PMID: 33821922, PMCID: PMC8025126, DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.1644.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPopulation-based interventionsCOVID-19 casesCOVID-19 controlComparative effectiveness research studyComparative effectiveness studiesEffective public health systemCOVID-19Reproduction numberPublic health professionalsPublic health systemCategories of interventionsStochastic branching process modelCase detectionMAIN OUTCOMESubsequent infectionPresymptomatic stagePrimary casesHealth professionalsEffective reproduction numberEstimated EffectivenessSerial intervalEffectiveness studiesHealth systemContact tracingCOVID-19 containmentThe impact of COVID-19 on TB: a review of the data
McQuaid C, Vassall A, Cohen T, Fiekert K, COVID/TB Modelling Working Group *, White R. The impact of COVID-19 on TB: a review of the data. The International Journal Of Tuberculosis And Lung Disease 2021, 25: 436-446. PMID: 34049605, PMCID: PMC8171247, DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.21.0148.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchAdaptive Policies to Balance Health Benefits and Economic Costs of Physical Distancing Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Yaesoubi R, Havumaki J, Chitwood MH, Menzies NA, Gonsalves G, Salomon JA, Paltiel AD, Cohen T. Adaptive Policies to Balance Health Benefits and Economic Costs of Physical Distancing Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Medical Decision Making 2021, 41: 386-392. PMID: 33504258, PMCID: PMC8084913, DOI: 10.1177/0272989x21990371.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAdaptive policiesClear decision rulesSocial costsEconomic costsPolicy makersPhysical distancing policiesDecision toolPolicyPhysical distancing interventionsDistancing policiesModel-based experimentsDecision rulesReal-time surveillance dataCostCOVID-19 pandemicMakersShorter overall durationMore complex modelsHealth benefitsComplex modelsPandemicCurrent pandemicCOVID-19BenefitsRules
2020
Estimation of Excess Deaths Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, March to May 2020
Weinberger DM, Chen J, Cohen T, Crawford FW, Mostashari F, Olson D, Pitzer VE, Reich NG, Russi M, Simonsen L, Watkins A, Viboud C. Estimation of Excess Deaths Associated With the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, March to May 2020. JAMA Internal Medicine 2020, 180: 1336-1344. PMID: 32609310, PMCID: PMC7330834, DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.3391.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCOVID-19Excess deathsOfficial COVID-19 deathsCoronavirus disease 2019Entire US populationPublic health impactCOVID-19 diagnostic testsCOVID-19 burdenCOVID-19 deathsCause deathReported deathsMortality burdenObservational studyDisease 2019Influenza activityMAIN OUTCOMEDeath AssociatedWeekly deathsTotal deathsUS deathsMore deathsDeath recordsUS populationHealth StatisticsTest availabilityHousehold studies provide key insights on the transmission of, and susceptibility to, SARS-CoV-2
Pitzer VE, Cohen T. Household studies provide key insights on the transmission of, and susceptibility to, SARS-CoV-2. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2020, 20: 1103-1104. PMID: 32562602, PMCID: PMC7832097, DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30514-4.Peer-Reviewed Original Research