2023
Transmission modeling to infer tuberculosis incidence prevalence and mortality in settings with generalized HIV epidemics
Dodd P, Shaweno D, Ku C, Glaziou P, Pretorius C, Hayes R, MacPherson P, Cohen T, Ayles H. Transmission modeling to infer tuberculosis incidence prevalence and mortality in settings with generalized HIV epidemics. Nature Communications 2023, 14: 1639. PMID: 36964130, PMCID: PMC10037365, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37314-1.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHigh HIV prevalence settingsEstimation of burdenHIV prevalence settingsGeneralized HIV epidemicsTB transmission modelAntiretroviral therapyTB infectionTB incidenceHIV prevalenceTB prevalencePrevalence settingsTB epidemicHIV epidemicHigh burdenBurden estimatesNotification dataAnnual riskSingle pathogenIntervention impactTherapy effectsTuberculosisPrevalenceEpidemicBurdenAfrican countries
2022
Neighbourhood prevalence-to-notification ratios for adult bacteriologically-confirmed tuberculosis reveals hotspots of underdiagnosis in Blantyre, Malawi
Khundi M, Carpenter JR, Corbett EL, Feasey HRA, Soko RN, Nliwasa M, Twabi H, Chiume L, Burke RM, Horton KC, Dodd PJ, Cohen T, MacPherson P. Neighbourhood prevalence-to-notification ratios for adult bacteriologically-confirmed tuberculosis reveals hotspots of underdiagnosis in Blantyre, Malawi. PLOS ONE 2022, 17: e0268749. PMID: 35605004, PMCID: PMC9126376, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0268749.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCase notification ratesPrevalence surveyNotification ratioNeighbourhood prevalenceTB case notification ratesXpert MTB/RIFCase-finding interventionsTrue disease burdenChest X-ray screeningTB prevalence surveyTB surveillance systemMTB/RIFDiagnosis of tuberculosisSputum smear microscopyTB clinicTB patientsRespiratory infectionsTB prevalenceDisease burdenNotification ratesSmear microscopyX-ray screeningTuberculosisPrevalenceUrban tuberculosisSpatially targeted digital chest radiography to reduce tuberculosis in high-burden settings: A study of adaptive decision making
de Villiers AK, Dye C, Yaesoubi R, Cohen T, Marx FM. Spatially targeted digital chest radiography to reduce tuberculosis in high-burden settings: A study of adaptive decision making. Epidemics 2022, 38: 100540. PMID: 35093849, PMCID: PMC8983993, DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100540.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHigh-burden settingsTB casesTB prevalenceChest radiographyAdditional TB casesCase-finding yieldTB prevalence estimatesHigh-burden populationsCommunity-randomized trialNumber of screeningsTB controlXpert UltraScreening roundNotification ratesPrevalence estimatesTuberculosisPrevalenceDigital chest radiographyScreeningTrialsInterventionRadiography
2016
High burden of prevalent tuberculosis among previously treated people in Southern Africa suggests potential for targeted control interventions
Marx FM, Floyd S, Ayles H, Godfrey-Faussett P, Beyers N, Cohen T. High burden of prevalent tuberculosis among previously treated people in Southern Africa suggests potential for targeted control interventions. European Respiratory Journal 2016, 48: 1227-1230. PMID: 27390274, PMCID: PMC5512114, DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00716-2016.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHigh-burden settingsHigh TB prevalenceRecurrent tuberculosisExogenous reinfectionPrevalent tuberculosisTB prevalenceSuccessful treatmentHigh burdenImportant underlying mechanismHigh riskHigh incidenceControl interventionsTargeted interventionsTuberculosisUnderlying mechanismOne-thirdInterventionBurdenCape TownIndividualsReinfectionPrevalenceIncidenceDiseaseSetting
2015
Evaluating the potential impact of enhancing HIV treatment and tuberculosis control programmes on the burden of tuberculosis
Chindelevitch L, Menzies NA, Pretorius C, Stover J, Salomon JA, Cohen T. Evaluating the potential impact of enhancing HIV treatment and tuberculosis control programmes on the burden of tuberculosis. Journal Of The Royal Society Interface 2015, 12: 20150146. PMID: 25878131, PMCID: PMC4424692, DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2015.0146.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAntiretroviral therapyTB incidenceTB burdenBurden of tuberculosisTuberculosis Control ProgrammePotential epidemiological impactART eligibilityMortality benefitTB programsHIV treatmentTB prevalenceTuberculosis incidenceEpidemiological impactART useProgram improvementHIVTreatment effectivenessIncidenceMortalityGreater reductionBurdenTBSaharan AfricaControl programsEligibility
2011
Diabetes mellitus and tuberculosis in countries with high tuberculosis burdens: individual risks and social determinants
Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Jeon CY, Cohen T, Murray MB. Diabetes mellitus and tuberculosis in countries with high tuberculosis burdens: individual risks and social determinants. International Journal Of Epidemiology 2011, 40: 417-428. PMID: 21252210, PMCID: PMC3621385, DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyq238.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDiabetes prevalenceTB prevalenceSocial determinantsHigh TB burdenBody mass indexHigh tuberculosis burdenType 2 diabetesIndividual-level risk factorsWorld Health SurveyTB burdenDiabetes mellitusPrevalent tuberculosisTuberculosis burdenMass indexIndividual-level riskBody of evidenceRisk factorsHealth SurveyDiabetesTuberculosisPrevalenceLow-income countriesHealth policyIndividual riskPopulation health