2024
Identifying local foci of tuberculosis transmission in Moldova using a spatial multinomial logistic regression model
Lan Y, Crudu V, Ciobanu N, Codreanu A, Chitwood M, Sobkowiak B, Warren J, Cohen T. Identifying local foci of tuberculosis transmission in Moldova using a spatial multinomial logistic regression model. EBioMedicine 2024, 102: 105085. PMID: 38531172, PMCID: PMC10987885, DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2024.105085.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPatterns of spatial aggregationMtb strainsMDR-TBLogistic regression modelsGenome Epidemiology StudySpecific strainsMultidrug-resistant tuberculosisTreated TB casesNational Institute of AllergyMDR phenotypeRegression modelsM. tuberculosisInstitute of AllergyMultinomial logistic regression modelUS National Institutes of HealthNational Institutes of HealthMDR diseasePublic health concernAssociated with local transmissionIncident TBInstitutes of HealthMtbResistant tuberculosisStrainDiagnosing TB
2022
A spatial-mechanistic model to estimate subnational tuberculosis burden with routinely collected data: An application in Brazilian municipalities
Chitwood M, Alves L, Bartholomay P, Couto R, Sanchez M, Castro M, Cohen T, Menzies N. A spatial-mechanistic model to estimate subnational tuberculosis burden with routinely collected data: An application in Brazilian municipalities. PLOS Global Public Health 2022, 2: e0000725. PMID: 36962578, PMCID: PMC10021638, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000725.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPerson/yearTB incidenceCase notificationBurden estimatesIncident TB casesTB case notificationTB control strategiesDisease burden estimatesIncident TBUntreated TBTB casesTuberculosis burdenDisease burdenIncidence rateCase detectionRoutine dataDeath recordsMortality dataIncidenceSubnational estimatesDisease control resourcesBurdenHigh needTBFraction of individuals
2021
Bayesian evidence synthesis to estimate subnational TB incidence: An application in Brazil
Chitwood MH, Pelissari DM, da Silva G, Bartholomay P, Rocha MS, Sanchez M, Arakaki-Sanchez D, Glaziou P, Cohen T, Castro MC, Menzies NA. Bayesian evidence synthesis to estimate subnational TB incidence: An application in Brazil. Epidemics 2021, 35: 100443. PMID: 33676092, PMCID: PMC8252152, DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100443.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB incidenceFraction of casesUntreated active diseaseIncident TB casesTB control programsLocal disease burdenIncident TBActive diseaseTB burdenTB casesTB outcomesTB notificationsDisease burdenBayesian evidence synthesisCase detectionIncidenceEvidence synthesisAverage annual increaseControl programsBurdenAnnual rateAnnual increaseFraction of individualsAverage annual rateSources of bias
2018
Prospects for Tuberculosis Elimination in the United States: Results of a Transmission Dynamic Model
Menzies NA, Cohen T, Hill AN, Yaesoubi R, Galer K, Wolf E, Marks SM, Salomon JA. Prospects for Tuberculosis Elimination in the United States: Results of a Transmission Dynamic Model. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2018, 187: 2011-2020. PMID: 29762657, PMCID: PMC6119121, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwy094.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB preventionTB eliminationLatent TB infection (LTBI) screeningTB case detectionHigh-risk populationImportant health benefitsTransmission dynamic modelIncident TBActive TBTuberculosis eliminationInfection testingTB controlTB incidenceEpidemiologic evidenceTB transmissionInfection screeningCase detectionTuberculosis trendsUS populationRisk determinantsHealth benefitsTreatment qualityUnited StatesTreatment activitiesTreatment