2022
Excess tuberculosis cases and deaths following an economic recession in Brazil: an analysis of nationally representative disease registry data
Li Y, de Macedo Couto R, Pelissari DM, Costa Alves L, Bartholomay P, Maciel EL, Sanchez M, Castro MC, Cohen T, Menzies NA. Excess tuberculosis cases and deaths following an economic recession in Brazil: an analysis of nationally representative disease registry data. The Lancet Global Health 2022, 10: e1463-e1472. PMID: 36049488, PMCID: PMC9472578, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(22)00320-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNational Notifiable Diseases Information SystemTuberculosis casesTuberculosis deathsExcess casesTuberculosis case ratesTuberculosis transmissionCase ratesNotifiable Diseases Information SystemTuberculosis case notificationDisease registry dataMortality Information SystemMixed effects regression modelsSupplementary Materials sectionFraction of casesTuberculosis controlUS National InstitutesTuberculosis incidenceCase notificationRegistry dataExcess deathsAge groupsDeathPossible explanatory factorsNational InstituteYoung men
2021
The Impact of Changes in Diagnostic Testing Practices on Estimates of COVID-19 Transmission in the United States
Pitzer VE, Chitwood M, Havumaki J, Menzies NA, Perniciaro S, Warren JL, Weinberger DM, Cohen T. The Impact of Changes in Diagnostic Testing Practices on Estimates of COVID-19 Transmission in the United States. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2021, 190: 1908-1917. PMID: 33831148, PMCID: PMC8083380, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwab089.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2Acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2Diagnostic testingRespiratory syndrome coronavirus 2Reproductive numberPercentage of patientsSyndrome coronavirus 2Coronavirus disease 2019Diagnostic testing practicesFraction of casesCOVID-19 transmissionEffective reproductive numberCoronavirus 2Disease 2019Testing practicesCoronavirus diseaseBasic reproductive numberLevel of interventionEstimates of R0Daily numberBayesian evidence synthesis to estimate subnational TB incidence: An application in Brazil
Chitwood MH, Pelissari DM, da Silva G, Bartholomay P, Rocha MS, Sanchez M, Arakaki-Sanchez D, Glaziou P, Cohen T, Castro MC, Menzies NA. Bayesian evidence synthesis to estimate subnational TB incidence: An application in Brazil. Epidemics 2021, 35: 100443. PMID: 33676092, PMCID: PMC8252152, DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100443.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB incidenceFraction of casesUntreated active diseaseIncident TB casesTB control programsLocal disease burdenIncident TBActive diseaseTB burdenTB casesTB outcomesTB notificationsDisease burdenBayesian evidence synthesisCase detectionIncidenceEvidence synthesisAverage annual increaseControl programsBurdenAnnual rateAnnual increaseFraction of individualsAverage annual rateSources of bias
2014
Magnitude and sources of bias in the detection of mixed strain M. tuberculosis infection
Plazzotta G, Cohen T, Colijn C. Magnitude and sources of bias in the detection of mixed strain M. tuberculosis infection. Journal Of Theoretical Biology 2014, 368: 67-73. PMID: 25553967, PMCID: PMC7011203, DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.12.009.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMixed infectionsM. tuberculosis infectionIncidence of TBOutcome of treatmentPopulation-level interventionsFraction of casesTuberculosis infectionMinority strainsActual prevalenceInfected individualsInfectionStudy designMycobacterium tuberculosisPrevalenceSputumTuberculosisDistinct strainsDifferent strainsSources of biasPrevious studiesPatientsSpecific reasonsIncidenceIndividuals