2012
Chapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control
Holford TR, Clark L. Chapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s39-s50. PMID: 22882891, PMCID: PMC3490210, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01759.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTobacco controlNational Health Interview SurveyLung cancer mortalityNumber of cigarettesLung cancer modelHealth Interview SurveySurveillance Modeling NetworkSurgeon General's ReportSmoking historyCessation ratesCigarette smokingCancer mortalityCancer modelCancer interventionInterview SurveySmokingPublic healthCigarettesReportControl programsGeneral's ReportControlMortalityWomenChapter 14: Comparing the Adequacy of Carcinogenesis Models in Estimating U.S. Population Rates for Lung Cancer Mortality
Holford TR, Levy DT. Chapter 14: Comparing the Adequacy of Carcinogenesis Models in Estimating U.S. Population Rates for Lung Cancer Mortality. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s179-s189. PMID: 22882888, PMCID: PMC3478769, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01734.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer mortalityCancer mortalityCarcinogenesis modelLung cancer mortality ratesU.S. population ratesEffect of smokingCancer Prevention StudyCancer mortality ratesPopulation ratesTwo-stage clonal expansion modelEffect of ageSmoking trendsLung cancerPrevention StudyEstimates of riskMortality rateClonal expansionClonal expansion modelCohort modelSmokingIndividual cohortsCohortMortalityU.S. malesTemporal trendsChapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model
Holford TR, Ebisu K, McKay L, Oh C, Zheng T. Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model. Risk Analysis 2012, 32: s151-s165. PMID: 22882886, PMCID: PMC3662537, DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01754.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer deathsCarcinogenesis modelCancer deathLung cancer incidenceLung cancer modelTwo-stage clonal expansion modelCigarette smokingCancer incidenceCancer modelTobacco controlClonal expansion modelPopulation ratesCohort modelSmokingDeathHarmful effectsPopulation dataTemporal trendsMortalityObserved numberIncidenceControl
2001
Lactation and breast cancer risk: a case–control study in Connecticut
Zheng T, Holford T, Mayne S, Owens P, Zhang Y, Zhang B, Boyle P, Zahm S. Lactation and breast cancer risk: a case–control study in Connecticut. British Journal Of Cancer 2001, 84: 1472-1476. PMID: 11384096, PMCID: PMC2363665, DOI: 10.1054/bjoc.2001.1793.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsBreast cancer riskBreast cancerCancer riskIncident breast cancer casesMajor risk factorCase-control studyBreast cancer casesRisk reductionMenopausal statusParous womenPostmenopausal womenInverse associationRisk factorsCancer casesStudy interviewersFurther stratificationFirst childWomenStructured questionnaireLifetime durationCancerRiskLactationChildrenBreastfeeding
1998
Methylprednisolone or tirilazad mesylate administration after acute spinal cord injury: 1-year follow up. Results of the third National Acute Spinal Cord Injury randomized controlled trial.
Bracken M, Shepard M, Holford T, Leo-Summers L, Aldrich E, Fazl M, Fehlings M, Herr D, Hitchon P, Marshall L, Nockels R, Pascale V, Perot P, Piepmeier J, Sonntag V, Wagner F, Wilberger J, Winn H, Young W. Methylprednisolone or tirilazad mesylate administration after acute spinal cord injury: 1-year follow up. Results of the third National Acute Spinal Cord Injury randomized controlled trial. Journal Of Neurosurgery 1998, 89: 699-706. PMID: 9817404, DOI: 10.3171/jns.1998.89.5.0699.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAcute spinal cord injurySpinal cord injuryHours of injuryCord injuryFunctional recoveryRandomized double-blind clinical trialMortality rate 1 yearDouble-blind clinical trialMotor function recoveryMP regimenMotor recoveryMP therapyTherapy 3Neurological gradeMorbidity rateSphincter controlFunction recoveryMethylprednisolone regimenClinical trialsMedical factorsTreatment groupsPatientsRegimenInjurySelf-Care
1996
Sex Differences in Survival After Myocardial Infarction in Older Adults: A Community‐Based Approach
Vaccarino V, Krumholz H, de Leon C, Holford T, Seeman T, Horwitz R, Berkman L. Sex Differences in Survival After Myocardial Infarction in Older Adults: A Community‐Based Approach. Journal Of The American Geriatrics Society 1996, 44: 1174-1182. PMID: 8855995, DOI: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.1996.tb01366.x.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMyocardial infarctionMultivariable adjustmentClinical severityRelative riskPsychosocial factorsOlder individualsProspective cohort studyMain outcome measuresDemographic factorsSex differencesHospital complicationsCause mortalityLate mortalityClinical characteristicsCohort studyCT cohortHospital admissionOverall mortalityEarly mortalityElderly ProgramMean agePhysical functionFunctional statusMedical recordsOutcome measures
1995
Measurement of Exposure to Environmental Tobacco Smoke in Pregnant Women
O'Connor T, Holford T, Leaderer B, Hammond S, Bracken M. Measurement of Exposure to Environmental Tobacco Smoke in Pregnant Women. American Journal Of Epidemiology 1995, 142: 1315-1321. PMID: 7503052, DOI: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117599.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsUrine cotinineEnvironmental tobacco smokePregnant womenTobacco smokeWork exposureAir nicotine concentrationsSelf-reported exposurePersonal air monitorsExposure assessment methodsAir nicotineMeasurement of exposureHome exposureCotinineNicotine concentrationsExposure classificationWomenCohen's kappaExposureSpearman rank-order correlation coefficientAir monitorsRank-order correlation coefficientKappaSocial exposureSmokeHigh levelsTime trend in pancreatic cancer incidence in connecticut, 1935–1990
Zheng T, Holford T, Ward B, McKay L, Flannery J, Boyle P. Time trend in pancreatic cancer incidence in connecticut, 1935–1990. International Journal Of Cancer 1995, 61: 622-627. PMID: 7768634, DOI: 10.1002/ijc.2910610507.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsOverall age-adjusted incidence rateAge-adjusted incidence ratesIncidence rateRecent birth cohortsPancreatic cancerBirth cohortIncident pancreatic cancer casesPancreatic cancer incidence ratesAge groupsAge-specific incidence ratesPancreatic cancer incidenceConnecticut Tumor RegistryBirth cohort trendsPancreatic cancer casesCancer incidence ratesTumor RegistryCancer incidenceCancer casesCohort modelingCohort trendsTime trendsCohortCancerIncidenceSex
1994
Time trend and the age‐period‐cohort effect on the incidence of histologic types of lung cancer in connecticut, 1960‐1989
Zheng T, Holford T, Boyle P, Chen Y, Ward B, Flannery J, Mayne S. Time trend and the age‐period‐cohort effect on the incidence of histologic types of lung cancer in connecticut, 1960‐1989. Cancer 1994, 74: 1556-1567. PMID: 8062189, DOI: 10.1002/1097-0142(19940901)74:5<1556::aid-cncr2820740511>3.0.co;2-0.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdenocarcinomaAdenocarcinoma, Bronchiolo-AlveolarAdultAge FactorsAgedAged, 80 and overCarcinomaCarcinoma, Small CellCarcinoma, Squamous CellCohort EffectCohort StudiesConnecticutFemaleHumansIncidenceLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalRegistriesSex FactorsSmokingTime FactorsConceptsAge-adjusted incidence ratesMajor histologic typesOverall age-adjusted incidence rateAge-specific incidence ratesHistologic typeLung cancer incidenceLung cancerIncidence rateBirth cohortRecent birth cohortsIncidence patternsObserved time trendsCell carcinomaCancer incidenceTime trendsConnecticut Tumor RegistryIncidence of adenocarcinomaSmall cell carcinomaSquamous cell carcinomaLung cancer casesRecent epidemiologic studiesDifferent histologic typesDifferent incidence patternsObserved incidence patternsTumor RegistryMalignant melanoma incidence in Connecticut (United States): time trends and age-period-cohort modeling by anatomic site
Chen Y, Zheng T, Holford T, Berwick M, Dubrow R. Malignant melanoma incidence in Connecticut (United States): time trends and age-period-cohort modeling by anatomic site. Cancer Causes & Control 1994, 5: 341-350. PMID: 8080946, DOI: 10.1007/bf01804985.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCutaneous malignant melanomaAnatomic sitesUpper limbPopulation-based Connecticut Tumor RegistryCohort patternsConnecticut Tumor RegistryMale-female ratioMalignant melanoma incidenceTime trendsCMM incidenceNeck melanomaTumor RegistryIncident casesMalignant melanomaMelanoma incidenceEtiologic distinctionsCarcinogenic exposuresLower limbsLargest absolute increaseMelanomaCohort modelingAbsolute increaseIncidenceLimbLargest relative increaseTime trends in the incidence of renal carcinoma: Analysis of connecticut tumor registry data, 1935‐1989
Katz D, Zheng T, Holford T, Flannery J. Time trends in the incidence of renal carcinoma: Analysis of connecticut tumor registry data, 1935‐1989. International Journal Of Cancer 1994, 58: 57-63. PMID: 8014016, DOI: 10.1002/ijc.2910580111.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTransitional cell carcinomaConnecticut Tumor RegistryCell carcinomaIncidence rateRenal cancerPopulation-based cancer registriesIncidence of adenocarcinomaTime trendsCohort effectsRegression modellingEffect of ageTumor RegistryCancer RegistryIncident casesUrinary tractRenal carcinomaBirth cohortCarcinomaAdenocarcinomaRate of riseIncidenceNegative cohort effectRegistryCancerMalesEstimating age, period and cohort effects using the multistage model for cancer
Holford T, Zhang Z, McKay L. Estimating age, period and cohort effects using the multistage model for cancer. Statistics In Medicine 1994, 13: 23-41. PMID: 9061838, DOI: 10.1002/sim.4780130105.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
1993
The time trend and age—period—cohort effects on incidence of adenocarcinoma of the stomach in connecticut from 1955–1989
Zheng T, Mayne S, Holford T, Boyle P, Liu W, Chen Y, Mador M, Flannery J. The time trend and age—period—cohort effects on incidence of adenocarcinoma of the stomach in connecticut from 1955–1989. Cancer 1993, 72: 330-340. PMID: 8319166, DOI: 10.1002/1097-0142(19930715)72:2<330::aid-cncr2820720205>3.0.co;2-l.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDistal stomachGastric cardiaObserved time trendsRisk factorsIncidence rateBirth cohortAge-adjusted incidence ratesTime trendsDifferent epidemiologic featuresFuture analytic studiesIncrease of adenocarcinomaConnecticut Tumor RegistryIncidence of adenocarcinomaRisk of adenocarcinomaBirth-cohort phenomenonRegression modelingUnited States populationUnspecified subsiteRetinol intakeHiatal herniaTumor RegistryEpidemiologic featuresAlcohol intakeIncident casesEtiologic factors
1992
Analysing the temporal effects of age, period and cohort
Holford T. Analysing the temporal effects of age, period and cohort. Statistical Methods In Medical Research 1992, 1: 317-337. PMID: 1341663, DOI: 10.1177/096228029200100306.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchTime trends of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: are they real? What do they mean?
Holford T, Zheng T, Mayne S, McKay L. Time trends of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: are they real? What do they mean? Cancer Research 1992, 52: 5443s-5446s. PMID: 1394151.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchTime trend and age-period-cohort effects on incidence of esophageal cancer in Connecticut, 1935–89
Zheng T, Mayne S, Holford T, Boyle P, Liu W, Chen Y, Mador M, Flannery J. Time trend and age-period-cohort effects on incidence of esophageal cancer in Connecticut, 1935–89. Cancer Causes & Control 1992, 3: 481-492. PMID: 1525329, DOI: 10.1007/bf00051361.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSquamous cell carcinomaIncidence rateCell carcinomaEsophageal cancerBirth cohortOverall age-adjusted incidence rateAge-adjusted incidence ratesConnecticut Tumor RegistryEsophageal cancer casesTime trendsEsophageal cancer ratesObserved time trendsGastric cardiaHistologic typeTumor RegistryIncident casesCancer ratesCancer casesAdenocarcinomaIncidence patternsEsophagusCancerLower thirdRegression modelingWhite malesA reversal in the long‐term increase in deaths attributable to malignant melanoma
Roush G, McKay L, Holford T. A reversal in the long‐term increase in deaths attributable to malignant melanoma. Cancer 1992, 69: 1714-1720. PMID: 1551056, DOI: 10.1002/1097-0142(19920401)69:7<1714::aid-cncr2820690712>3.0.co;2-z.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMethylprednisolone or naloxone treatment after acute spinal cord injury: 1-year follow-up data. Results of the second National Acute Spinal Cord Injury Study.
Bracken M, Shepard M, Collins W, Holford T, Baskin D, Eisenberg H, Flamm E, Leo-Summers L, Maroon J, Marshall L, Perot P, Piepmeier J, Sonntag V, Wagner F, Wilberger J, Winn H, Young W. Methylprednisolone or naloxone treatment after acute spinal cord injury: 1-year follow-up data. Results of the second National Acute Spinal Cord Injury Study. Journal Of Neurosurgery 1992, 76: 23-31. PMID: 1727165, DOI: 10.3171/jns.1992.76.1.0023.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHours of injuryAcute spinal cord injurySpinal cord injuryNaloxone treatmentCord injuryMotor functionSecond National Acute Spinal Cord Injury StudyNational Acute Spinal Cord Injury StudyAcute Spinal Cord Injury StudySpinal Cord Injury StudyAcute spinal cord traumaPreservation of motorTrial of methylprednisoloneSpinal cord traumaTotal sensoryPlacebo groupCord traumaNeurological functionStudy doseEmergency roomMethylprednisoloneInjury studiesMortality ratePatientsSensory function
1991
A prospective longitudinal study of growth in twin gestations compared with growth in singleton pregnancies. II. The fetal limbs.
Reece E, Yarkoni S, Abdalla M, Gabrielli S, Holford T, O'Connor T, Bargar M, Hobbins J. A prospective longitudinal study of growth in twin gestations compared with growth in singleton pregnancies. II. The fetal limbs. Journal Of Ultrasound In Medicine 1991, 10: 445-450. PMID: 1942233, DOI: 10.7863/jum.1991.10.8.445.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTwin gestationsProspective longitudinal studyFetal growthMultiple biometric parametersLongitudinal studySingleton pregnanciesProspective studyTwin APregnancy managementSeparate nomogramsClinical importanceGestationFetal anatomyFemur lengthFetal limbsLong bonesHumerus lengthUlna lengthTibia lengthWeeksBiometric parametersGrowth velocityEvaluation of growthSingletonsPatientsUnderstanding the Effects of Age, Period, and Cohort on Incidence and Mortality Rates
Holford T. Understanding the Effects of Age, Period, and Cohort on Incidence and Mortality Rates. Annual Review Of Public Health 1991, 12: 425-457. PMID: 2049144, DOI: 10.1146/annurev.pu.12.050191.002233.Peer-Reviewed Original Research