2017
Who Among the Elderly Is Most Vulnerable to Exposure to and Health Risks of Fine Particulate Matter From Wildfire Smoke?
Liu JC, Wilson A, Mickley LJ, Ebisu K, Sulprizio MP, Wang Y, Peng RD, Yue X, Dominici F, Bell ML. Who Among the Elderly Is Most Vulnerable to Exposure to and Health Risks of Fine Particulate Matter From Wildfire Smoke? American Journal Of Epidemiology 2017, 186: 730-735. PMID: 28525551, PMCID: PMC5860049, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwx141.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRespiratory admissionsYears of agePublic health programsHealth risksHospital admissionRespiratory causesFine particulate matterHealth programsAdmissionVulnerable subpopulationsRiskSubpopulationsUrban countiesSmoke wavesWomenWildfire smokeUnited StatesSmokeAssociationExposureDaysDisaster preparednessElderlyIs ambient temperature associated with risk of infant mortality? A multi-city study in Korea
Son JY, Lee JT, Bell ML. Is ambient temperature associated with risk of infant mortality? A multi-city study in Korea. Environmental Research 2017, 158: 748-752. PMID: 28750343, DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.07.034.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsOverall hazard ratioHazard ratioInfant mortalityExtended Cox proportional hazardsRisk of mortalityCox proportional hazardsCause of deathCause deathTime-dependent covariatesMaternal characteristicsStratified analysisTotal deathsMother's ageBirth cohortDeath recordsProportional hazardsMortalityDeathPositive associationRiskExposure periodMonthsBirthAgeLimited studies
2015
Brief Report
Bell ML, Son JY, Peng RD, Wang Y, Dominici F. Brief Report. Epidemiology 2015, 26: 575-579. PMID: 25906368, PMCID: PMC4452416, DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000000310.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRespiratory tract infectionsCause of hospitalizationRisk of heartSame-day PM2.5Cardiovascular causesTract infectionsRespiratory hospitalizationsMedicare beneficiariesHospitalizationWomenAdmissionAmbient monitorsMenRiskAssociationUS countiesHeartCauseBrief reportCardiovascularStrong evidenceInfectionPoint estimates
2012
A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Lim SS, Vos T, Flaxman AD, Danaei G, Shibuya K, Adair-Rohani H, AlMazroa M, Amann M, Anderson H, Andrews K, Aryee M, Atkinson C, Bacchus L, Bahalim A, Balakrishnan K, Balmes J, Barker-Collo S, Baxter A, Bell M, Blore J, Blyth F, Bonner C, Borges G, Bourne R, Boussinesq M, Brauer M, Brooks P, Bruce N, Brunekreef B, Bryan-Hancock C, Bucello C, Buchbinder R, Bull F, Burnett R, Byers T, Calabria B, Carapetis J, Carnahan E, Chafe Z, Charlson F, Chen H, Chen J, Cheng A, Child J, Cohen A, Colson K, Cowie B, Darby S, Darling S, Davis A, Degenhardt L, Dentener F, Jarlais D, Devries K, Dherani M, Ding E, Dorsey E, Driscoll T, Edmond K, Ali S, Engell R, Erwin P, Fahimi S, Falder G, Farzadfar F, Ferrari A, Finucane M, Flaxman S, Fowkes F, Freedman G, Freeman M, Gakidou E, Ghosh S, Giovannucci E, Gmel G, Graham K, Grainger R, Grant B, Gunnell D, Gutierrez H, Hall W, Hoek H, Hogan A, Hosgood H, Hoy D, Hu H, Hubbell B, Hutchings S, Ibeanusi S, Jacklyn G, Jasrasaria R, Jonas J, Kan H, Kanis J, Kassebaum N, Kawakami N, Khang Y, Khatibzadeh S, Khoo J, Kok C, Laden F, Lalloo R, Lan Q, Lathlean T, Leasher J, Leigh J, Li Y, Lin J, Lipshultz S, London S, Lozano R, Lu Y, Mak J, Malekzadeh R, Mallinger L, Marcenes W, March L, Marks R, Martin R, McGale P, McGrath J, Mehta S, Memish Z, Mensah G, Merriman T, Micha R, Michaud C, Mishra V, Hanafiah K, Mokdad A, Morawska L, Mozaffarian D, Murphy T, Naghavi M, Neal B, Nelson P, Nolla J, Norman R, Olives C, Omer S, Orchard J, Osborne R, Ostro B, Page A, Pandey K, Parry C, Passmore E, Patra J, Pearce N, Pelizzari P, Petzold M, Phillips M, Pope D, Pope C, Powles J, Rao M, Razavi H, Rehfuess E, Rehm J, Ritz B, Rivara F, Roberts T, Robinson C, Rodriguez-Portales J, Romieu I, Room R, Rosenfeld L, Roy A, Rushton L, Salomon J, Sampson U, Sanchez-Riera L, Sanman E, Sapkota A, Seedat S, Shi P, Shield K, Shivakoti R, Singh G, Sleet D, Smith E, Smith K, Stapelberg N, Steenland K, Stöckl H, Stovner L, Straif K, Straney L, Thurston G, Tran J, Van Dingenen R, van Donkelaar A, Veerman J, Vijayakumar L, Weintraub R, Weissman M, White R, Whiteford H, Wiersma S, Wilkinson J, Williams H, Williams W, Wilson N, Woolf A, Yip P, Zielinski J, Lopez A, Murray C, Ezzati M. A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet 2012, 380: 2224-2260. PMID: 23245609, PMCID: PMC4156511, DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61766-8.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSecond-hand smokeDisease Study 2010High blood pressureRisk factorsDisease burdenGlobal disease burdenTobacco smokingRisk factor exposureBlood pressureGlobal DALYsChildhood underweightRelative riskGlobal burdenStudy 2010Unimproved waterCommunicable diseasesHigher body mass indexHigh-income North AmericaAlcohol useChildhood communicable diseasesDisability-adjusted life yearsRisk factor clustersDietary risk factorsCause-specific deathBody mass indexDisability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Murray CJ, Vos T, Lozano R, Naghavi M, Flaxman AD, Michaud C, Ezzati M, Shibuya K, Salomon JA, Abdalla S, Aboyans V, Abraham J, Ackerman I, Aggarwal R, Ahn SY, Ali MK, AlMazroa M, Alvarado M, Anderson H, Anderson L, Andrews K, Atkinson C, Baddour L, Bahalim A, Barker-Collo S, Barrero L, Bartels D, Basáñez M, Baxter A, Bell M, Benjamin E, Bennett D, Bernabé E, Bhalla K, Bhandari B, Bikbov B, Bin Abdulhak A, Birbeck G, Black J, Blencowe H, Blore J, Blyth F, Bolliger I, Bonaventure A, Boufous S, Bourne R, Boussinesq M, Braithwaite T, Brayne C, Bridgett L, Brooker S, Brooks P, Brugha T, Bryan-Hancock C, Bucello C, Buchbinder R, Buckle G, Budke C, Burch M, Burney P, Burstein R, Calabria B, Campbell B, Canter C, Carabin H, Carapetis J, Carmona L, Cella C, Charlson F, Chen H, Cheng A, Chou D, Chugh S, Coffeng L, Colan S, Colquhoun S, Colson K, Condon J, Connor M, Cooper L, Corriere M, Cortinovis M, de Vaccaro K, Couser W, Cowie B, Criqui M, Cross M, Dabhadkar K, Dahiya M, Dahodwala N, Damsere-Derry J, Danaei G, Davis A, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Dellavalle R, Delossantos A, Denenberg J, Derrett S, Jarlais D, Dharmaratne S, Dherani M, Diaz-Torne C, Dolk H, Dorsey E, Driscoll T, Duber H, Ebel B, Edmond K, Elbaz A, Ali S, Erskine H, Erwin P, Espindola P, Ewoigbokhan S, Farzadfar F, Feigin V, Felson D, Ferrari A, Ferri C, Fèvre E, Finucane M, Flaxman S, Flood L, Foreman K, Forouzanfar M, Fowkes F, Fransen M, Freeman M, Gabbe B, Gabriel S, Gakidou E, Ganatra H, Garcia B, Gaspari F, Gillum R, Gmel G, Gonzalez-Medina D, Gosselin R, Grainger R, Grant B, Groeger J, Guillemin F, Gunnell D, Gupta R, Haagsma J, Hagan H, Halasa Y, Hall W, Haring D, Haro J, Harrison J, Havmoeller R, Hay R, Higashi H, Hill C, Hoen B, Hoffman H, Hotez P, Hoy D, Huang J, Ibeanusi S, Jacobsen K, James S, Jarvis D, Jasrasaria R, Jayaraman S, Johns N, Jonas J, Karthikeyan G, Kassebaum N, Kawakami N, Keren A, Khoo J, King C, Knowlton L, Kobusingye O, Koranteng A, Krishnamurthi R, Laden F, Lalloo R, Laslett L, Lathlean T, Leasher J, Lee Y, Leigh J, Levinson D, Lim S, Limb E, Lin J, Lipnick M, Lipshultz S, Liu W, Loane M, Ohno S, Lyons R, Mabweijano J, MacIntyre M, Malekzadeh R, Mallinger L, Manivannan S, Marcenes W, March L, Margolis D, Marks G, Marks R, Matsumori A, Matzopoulos R, Mayosi B, McAnulty J, McDermott M, McGill N, McGrath J, Medina-Mora M, Meltzer M, Memish Z, Mensah G, Merriman T, Meyer A, Miglioli V, Miller M, Miller T, Mitchell P, Mock C, Mocumbi A, Moffitt T, Mokdad A, Monasta L, Montico M, Moradi-Lakeh M, Moran A, Morawska L, Mori R, Murdoch M, Mwaniki M, Naidoo K, Nair M, Naldi L, Narayan K, Nelson P, Nelson R, Nevitt M, Newton C, Nolte S, Norman P, Norman R, O'Donnell M, O'Hanlon S, Olives C, Omer S, Ortblad K, Osborne R, Ozgediz D, Page A, Pahari B, Pandian J, Rivero A, Patten S, Pearce N, Padilla R, Perez-Ruiz F, Perico N, Pesudovs K, Phillips D, Phillips M, Pierce K, Pion S, Polanczyk G, Polinder S, Pope C, Popova S, Porrini E, Pourmalek F, Prince M, Pullan R, Ramaiah K, Ranganathan D, Razavi H, Regan M, Rehm J, Rein D, Remuzzi G, Richardson K, Rivara F, Roberts T, Robinson C, De Leòn F, Ronfani L, Room R, Rosenfeld L, Rushton L, Sacco R, Saha S, Sampson U, Sanchez-Riera L, Sanman E, Schwebel D, Scott J, Segui-Gomez M, Shahraz S, Shepard D, Shin H, Shivakoti R, Silberberg D, Singh D, Singh G, Singh J, Singleton J, Sleet D, Sliwa K, Smith E, Smith J, Stapelberg N, Steer A, Steiner T, Stolk W, Stovner L, Sudfeld C, Syed S, Tamburlini G, Tavakkoli M, Taylor H, Taylor J, Taylor W, Thomas B, Thomson W, Thurston G, Tleyjeh I, Tonelli M, Towbin J, Truelsen T, Tsilimbaris M, Ubeda C, Undurraga E, van der Werf M, van Os J, Vavilala M, Venketasubramanian N, Wang M, Wang W, Watt K, Weatherall D, Weinstock M, Weintraub R, Weisskopf M, Weissman M, White R, Whiteford H, Wiebe N, Wiersma S, Wilkinson J, Williams H, Williams S, Witt E, Wolfe F, Woolf A, Wulf S, Yeh P, Zaidi A, Zheng Z, Zonies D, Lopez A. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet 2012, 380: 2197-2223. PMID: 23245608, DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61689-4.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDisability-adjusted life yearsGlobal disability-adjusted life yearsDisease burdenNon-communicable diseasesGlobal burdenDisability weightsCrude disability-adjusted life yearLife yearsCauses of DALYsNew disability weightsLower respiratory infectionsDisease Study 2010Ischemic heart diseaseSum of yearsNutritional disordersCause-specific mortalityMajor depressive disorderGlobal disease burdenHIV/AIDSContribution of deathsCause mortalityRespiratory infectionsSaharan AfricaInjury burdenHeart diseaseGlobal and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, Lim S, Shibuya K, Aboyans V, Abraham J, Adair T, Aggarwal R, Ahn SY, AlMazroa M, Alvarado M, Anderson H, Anderson L, Andrews K, Atkinson C, Baddour L, Barker-Collo S, Bartels D, Bell M, Benjamin E, Bennett D, Bhalla K, Bikbov B, Bin Abdulhak A, Birbeck G, Blyth F, Bolliger I, Boufous S, Bucello C, Burch M, Burney P, Carapetis J, Chen H, Chou D, Chugh S, Coffeng L, Colan S, Colquhoun S, Colson K, Condon J, Connor M, Cooper L, Corriere M, Cortinovis M, de Vaccaro K, Couser W, Cowie B, Criqui M, Cross M, Dabhadkar K, Dahodwala N, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Delossantos A, Denenberg J, Jarlais D, Dharmaratne S, Dorsey E, Driscoll T, Duber H, Ebel B, Erwin P, Espindola P, Ezzati M, Feigin V, Flaxman A, Forouzanfar M, Fowkes F, Franklin R, Fransen M, Freeman M, Gabriel S, Gakidou E, Gaspari F, Gillum R, Gonzalez-Medina D, Halasa Y, Haring D, Harrison J, Havmoeller R, Hay R, Hoen B, Hotez P, Hoy D, Jacobsen K, James S, Jasrasaria R, Jayaraman S, Johns N, Karthikeyan G, Kassebaum N, Keren A, Khoo J, Knowlton L, Kobusingye O, Koranteng A, Krishnamurthi R, Lipnick M, Lipshultz S, Ohno S, Mabweijano J, MacIntyre M, Mallinger L, March L, Marks G, Marks R, Matsumori A, Matzopoulos R, Mayosi B, McAnulty J, McDermott M, McGrath J, Memish Z, Mensah G, Merriman T, Michaud C, Miller M, Miller T, Mock C, Mocumbi A, Mokdad A, Moran A, Mulholland K, Nair M, Naldi L, Narayan K, Nasseri K, Norman P, O'Donnell M, Omer S, Ortblad K, Osborne R, Ozgediz D, Pahari B, Pandian J, Rivero A, Padilla R, Perez-Ruiz F, Perico N, Phillips D, Pierce K, Pope C, Porrini E, Pourmalek F, Raju M, Ranganathan D, Rehm J, Rein D, Remuzzi G, Rivara F, Roberts T, De León F, Rosenfeld L, Rushton L, Sacco R, Salomon J, Sampson U, Sanman E, Schwebel D, Segui-Gomez M, Shepard D, Singh D, Singleton J, Sliwa K, Smith E, Steer A, Taylor J, Thomas B, Tleyjeh I, Towbin J, Truelsen T, Undurraga E, Venketasubramanian N, Vijayakumar L, Vos T, Wagner G, Wang M, Wang W, Watt K, Weinstock M, Weintraub R, Wilkinson J, Woolf A, Wulf S, Yeh P, Yip P, Zabetian A, Zheng Z, Lopez A, Murray C. Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet 2012, 380: 2095-2128. PMID: 23245604, PMCID: PMC10790329, DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61728-0.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsUncertainty intervalsParameter estimation uncertaintyStatistical modelUncertainty distributionEstimation uncertaintyStochastic variationDifferent modelling strategiesNegative binomial modelBinomial modelPrediction errorModelling strategyModel approachDifferent modelsEnsemble model approachModel specificationModel ensembleCrucial inputUncertaintyComponent modelLarge setModel performanceModelRisk Factors Study 2010Plausible covariatesHigher-level causesYears lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Vos T, Flaxman AD, Naghavi M, Lozano R, Michaud C, Ezzati M, Shibuya K, Salomon JA, Abdalla S, Aboyans V, Abraham J, Ackerman I, Aggarwal R, Ahn SY, Ali MK, AlMazroa M, Alvarado M, Anderson H, Anderson L, Andrews K, Atkinson C, Baddour L, Bahalim A, Barker-Collo S, Barrero L, Bartels D, Basáñez M, Baxter A, Bell M, Benjamin E, Bennett D, Bernabé E, Bhalla K, Bhandari B, Bikbov B, Bin Abdulhak A, Birbeck G, Black J, Blencowe H, Blore J, Blyth F, Bolliger I, Bonaventure A, Boufous S, Bourne R, Boussinesq M, Braithwaite T, Brayne C, Bridgett L, Brooker S, Brooks P, Brugha T, Bryan-Hancock C, Bucello C, Buchbinder R, Buckle G, Budke C, Burch M, Burney P, Burstein R, Calabria B, Campbell B, Canter C, Carabin H, Carapetis J, Carmona L, Cella C, Charlson F, Chen H, Cheng A, Chou D, Chugh S, Coffeng L, Colan S, Colquhoun S, Colson K, Condon J, Connor M, Cooper L, Corriere M, Cortinovis M, de Vaccaro K, Couser W, Cowie B, Criqui M, Cross M, Dabhadkar K, Dahiya M, Dahodwala N, Damsere-Derry J, Danaei G, Davis A, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Dellavalle R, Delossantos A, Denenberg J, Derrett S, Jarlais D, Dharmaratne S, Dherani M, Diaz-Torne C, Dolk H, Dorsey E, Driscoll T, Duber H, Ebel B, Edmond K, Elbaz A, Ali S, Erskine H, Erwin P, Espindola P, Ewoigbokhan S, Farzadfar F, Feigin V, Felson D, Ferrari A, Ferri C, Fèvre E, Finucane M, Flaxman S, Flood L, Foreman K, Forouzanfar M, Fowkes F, Franklin R, Fransen M, Freeman M, Gabbe B, Gabriel S, Gakidou E, Ganatra H, Garcia B, Gaspari F, Gillum R, Gmel G, Gosselin R, Grainger R, Groeger J, Guillemin F, Gunnell D, Gupta R, Haagsma J, Hagan H, Halasa Y, Hall W, Haring D, Haro J, Harrison J, Havmoeller R, Hay R, Higashi H, Hill C, Hoen B, Hoffman H, Hotez P, Hoy D, Huang J, Ibeanusi S, Jacobsen K, James S, Jarvis D, Jasrasaria R, Jayaraman S, Johns N, Jonas J, Karthikeyan G, Kassebaum N, Kawakami N, Keren A, Khoo J, King C, Knowlton L, Kobusingye O, Koranteng A, Krishnamurthi R, Lalloo R, Laslett L, Lathlean T, Leasher J, Lee Y, Leigh J, Lim S, Limb E, Lin J, Lipnick M, Lipshultz S, Liu W, Loane M, Ohno S, Lyons R, Ma J, Mabweijano J, MacIntyre M, Malekzadeh R, Mallinger L, Manivannan S, Marcenes W, March L, Margolis D, Marks G, Marks R, Matsumori A, Matzopoulos R, Mayosi B, McAnulty J, McDermott M, McGill N, McGrath J, Medina-Mora M, Meltzer M, Memish Z, Mensah G, Merriman T, Meyer A, Miglioli V, Miller M, Miller T, Mitchell P, Mocumbi A, Moffitt T, Mokdad A, Monasta L, Montico M, Moradi-Lakeh M, Moran A, Morawska L, Mori R, Murdoch M, Mwaniki M, Naidoo K, Nair M, Naldi L, Narayan K, Nelson P, Nelson R, Nevitt M, Newton C, Nolte S, Norman P, Norman R, O'Donnell M, O'Hanlon S, Olives C, Omer S, Ortblad K, Osborne R, Ozgediz D, Page A, Pahari B, Pandian J, Rivero A, Patten S, Pearce N, Padilla R, Perez-Ruiz F, Perico N, Pesudovs K, Phillips D, Phillips M, Pierce K, Pion S, Polanczyk G, Polinder S, Pope C, Popova S, Porrini E, Pourmalek F, Prince M, Pullan R, Ramaiah K, Ranganathan D, Razavi H, Regan M, Rehm J, Rein D, Remuzzi G, Richardson K, Rivara F, Roberts T, Robinson C, De Leòn F, Ronfani L, Room R, Rosenfeld L, Rushton L, Sacco R, Saha S, Sampson U, Sanchez-Riera L, Sanman E, Schwebel D, Scott J, Segui-Gomez M, Shahraz S, Shepard D, Shin H, Shivakoti R, Silberberg D, Singh D, Singh G, Singh J, Singleton J, Sleet D, Sliwa K, Smith E, Smith J, Stapelberg N, Steer A, Steiner T, Stolk W, Stovner L, Sudfeld C, Syed S, Tamburlini G, Tavakkoli M, Taylor H, Taylor J, Taylor W, Thomas B, Thomson W, Thurston G, Tleyjeh I, Tonelli M, Towbin J, Truelsen T, Tsilimbaris M, Ubeda C, Undurraga E, van der Werf M, van Os J, Vavilala M, Venketasubramanian N, Wang M, Wang W, Watt K, Weatherall D, Weinstock M, Weintraub R, Weisskopf M, Weissman M, White R, Whiteford H, Wiersma S, Wilkinson J, Williams H, Williams S, Witt E, Wolfe F, Woolf A, Wulf S, Yeh P, Zaidi A, Zheng Z, Zonies D, Lopez A, Murray C. Years lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet 2012, 380: 2163-2196. PMID: 23245607, PMCID: PMC6350784, DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61729-2.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNon-fatal health outcomesHealth outcomesHealth systemGlobal burdenMusculoskeletal disordersBayesian meta-regression methodChronic obstructive pulmonary diseasePopulation-based cancer registriesCauses of YLDsRate of YLDsHealth lossObstructive pulmonary diseaseDisease Study 2010Ambulatory care dataLow back painHospital discharge dataAge-specific prevalenceIron deficiency anemiaMajor depressive disorderBehavioral disordersDescriptive epidemiological dataLarge methodological variationNatural history modelYears of lifeHIV/AIDS
2008
Vulnerability to heat-related mortality in Latin America: a case-crossover study in São Paulo, Brazil, Santiago, Chile and Mexico City, Mexico
Bell ML, O’Neill M, Ranjit N, Borja-Aburto VH, Cifuentes LA, Gouveia NC. Vulnerability to heat-related mortality in Latin America: a case-crossover study in São Paulo, Brazil, Santiago, Chile and Mexico City, Mexico. International Journal Of Epidemiology 2008, 37: 796-804. PMID: 18511489, PMCID: PMC2734062, DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyn094.Peer-Reviewed Original Research