2024
Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis
He C, Breitner-Busch S, Huber V, Chen K, Zhang S, Gasparrini A, Bell M, Kan H, Royé D, Armstrong B, Schwartz J, Sera F, Vicedo-Cabrera A, Honda Y, Jaakkola J, Ryti N, Kyselý J, Guo Y, Tong S, de'Donato F, Michelozzi P, Coelho M, Saldiva P, Lavigne E, Orru H, Indermitte E, Pascal M, Goodman P, Zeka A, Kim Y, Diaz M, Arellano E, Overcenco A, Klompmaker J, Rao S, Palomares A, Carrasco G, Seposo X, Pereira da Silva S, Madureira J, Holobaca I, Scovronick N, Acquaotta F, Kim H, Lee W, Hashizume M, Tobias A, Íñiguez C, Forsberg B, Ragettli M, Guo Y, Pan S, Osorio S, Li S, Zanobetti A, Dang T, Van Dung D, Schneider A. Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis. The BMJ 2024, 387: e080944. PMID: 39384295, DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2024-080944.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathGlobal HealthHumansMortalityRainRespiratory Tract DiseasesTime FactorsConceptsYear return periodReturn periodsRainfall eventsVegetation coverageCharacteristics of daily rainfallDaily rainfall intensityDaily rainfallRainfall intensityRespiratory mortalityClimate typesRainfallLocal climateIntensity indexGlobal scaleTime series analysisMortality riskRelative riskAssociated with respiratory mortalityDaily mortalityDaily mortality dataClimateEstimate mortality riskIncreased relative riskSeries analysisGlobal locationsAll-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone: a multicountry two-stage time series analysis
Chen G, Guo Y, Yue X, Xu R, Yu W, Ye T, Tong S, Gasparrini A, Bell M, Armstrong B, Schwartz J, Jaakkola J, Lavigne E, Saldiva P, Kan H, Royé D, Urban A, Vicedo-Cabrera A, Tobias A, Forsberg B, Sera F, Lei Y, Abramson M, Li S, Network M, Abrutzky R, Alahmad B, Ameling C, Åström C, Breitner S, Carrasco-Escobar G, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho M, Colistro V, Correa P, Dang T, de'Donato F, Van Dung, Entezari A, Garcia S, Garland R, Goodman P, Guo Y, Hashizume M, Holobaca I, Honda Y, Houthuijs D, Hurtado-Díaz M, Íñiguez C, Katsouyanni K, Kim H, Kyselý J, Lee W, Maasikmets M, Madureira J, Mayvaneh F, Nunes B, Orru H, Ortega N, Overcenco A, Pan S, Pascal M, Ragettli M, Rao S, Ryti N, Samoli E, Schneider A, Scovronick N, Seposo X, Stafoggia M, De la Cruz Valencia C, Zanobetti A, Zeka A. All-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone: a multicountry two-stage time series analysis. The Lancet Planetary Health 2024, 8: e452-e462. PMID: 38969473, DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00117-7.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAir PollutantsAir PollutionCardiovascular DiseasesEnvironmental ExposureGlobal HealthHumansOzoneRespiratory Tract DiseasesWildfiresConceptsRespiratory mortalityImpact of wildfiresDaily respiratory mortalityDaily cardiovascular mortalityTwo-stage time-series analysisChemical transport modelWildfire activityDaily mortality ratesDaily concentrationsDaily mortalityStudy locationRespiratory deathsWildfireManagement strategiesSource of tropospheric ozoneTransport modelTropospheric ozoneGlobal levelLocation levelMulti-cityRegional levelMortality fractionsEffective riskSouth AmericaCentral America
2023
Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Silveira I, Cortes T, Bell M, Junger W. Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. PLOS ONE 2023, 18: e0283899. PMID: 37000782, PMCID: PMC10065291, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283899.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAgedBrazilCardiovascular DiseasesCross-Over StudiesFemaleHot TemperatureHumansMortalityRespiratory Tract DiseasesTemperatureConceptsRespiratory mortalityOdds ratioDistributed lag non-linear modelCardiovascular mortalityIndividual-level exposuresHeat wave intensityCase-crossover studyConditional logistic regressionMunicipal Health DepartmentHeat wavesEffects of heat wavesHealth impacts of heat wavesHealth departmentsHealth resourcesDeath dataOlder peopleLow-incomeEffect estimatesOlder womenDefinition of heat wavesLogistic regressionEpidemiological evidenceMorbidity outcomesHeat wave daysHealth impactsShort-term association between ambient air pollution and cardio-respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Cortes T, Silveira I, de Oliveira B, Bell M, Junger W. Short-term association between ambient air pollution and cardio-respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. PLOS ONE 2023, 18: e0281499. PMID: 36795640, PMCID: PMC9934392, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281499.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAir PollutantsAir PollutionBrazilCross-Over StudiesEnvironmental ExposureEnvironmental PollutantsHumansOzoneParticulate MatterRespiration DisordersRespiratory Tract DiseasesConceptsAmbient air pollutionCardio-respiratory mortalityShort-term associationsAir pollutionRespiratory mortalityExposure to particulate matter <Individual-level mortality dataOdds ratioIndividual exposure to air pollutionExposure to air pollutionCase-crossover study designHealth risk estimatesConditional logistic regression modelsConfidence intervalsEvaluation of public healthParticulate matter <Inverse distance weighting methodExposure assessment methodsIndividual-level dataDistributed lag non-linear modelLogistic regression modelsDistance weighting methodPM10 exposurePollution exposureRio de Janeiro
2017
Temporal Changes in Mortality Related to Extreme Temperatures for 15 Cities in Northeast Asia: Adaptation to Heat and Maladaptation to Cold
Chung Y, Noh H, Honda Y, Hashizume M, Bell ML, Guo YL, Kim H. Temporal Changes in Mortality Related to Extreme Temperatures for 15 Cities in Northeast Asia: Adaptation to Heat and Maladaptation to Cold. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2017, 185: 907-913. PMID: 28444109, PMCID: PMC5860040, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kww199.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2016
Airborne Fine Particles and Risk of Hospital Admissions for Understudied Populations: Effects by Urbanicity and Short-Term Cumulative Exposures in 708 U.S. Counties
Bravo MA, Ebisu K, Dominici F, Wang Y, Peng RD, Bell ML. Airborne Fine Particles and Risk of Hospital Admissions for Understudied Populations: Effects by Urbanicity and Short-Term Cumulative Exposures in 708 U.S. Counties. Environmental Health Perspectives 2016, 125: 594-601. PMID: 27649448, PMCID: PMC5381978, DOI: 10.1289/ehp257.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2015
Brief Report
Bell ML, Son JY, Peng RD, Wang Y, Dominici F. Brief Report. Epidemiology 2015, 26: 575-579. PMID: 25906368, PMCID: PMC4452416, DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000000310.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRespiratory tract infectionsCause of hospitalizationRisk of heartSame-day PM2.5Cardiovascular causesTract infectionsRespiratory hospitalizationsMedicare beneficiariesHospitalizationWomenAdmissionAmbient monitorsMenRiskAssociationUS countiesHeartCauseBrief reportCardiovascularStrong evidenceInfectionPoint estimatesAir pollution and mortality in São Paulo, Brazil: Effects of multiple pollutants and analysis of susceptible populations
Bravo MA, Son J, de Freitas CU, Gouveia N, Bell ML. Air pollution and mortality in São Paulo, Brazil: Effects of multiple pollutants and analysis of susceptible populations. Journal Of Exposure Science & Environmental Epidemiology 2015, 26: 150-161. PMID: 25586330, DOI: 10.1038/jes.2014.90.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAir PollutantsAir PollutionBrazilCarbon MonoxideCardiovascular DiseasesCase-Control StudiesDeath CertificatesEnvironmental MonitoringFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedNitrogen DioxideOzoneParticle SizeParticulate MatterRespiratory Tract DiseasesRisk FactorsSex DistributionSocioeconomic FactorsSulfur DioxideConceptsTime of deathSocioeconomic statusTime-stratified case-crossover analysisCase-crossover analysisResidential socioeconomic statusEducation groupHospital deathCardiovascular mortalityNon-accidental mortalityRespiratory mortalityMortality riskHigh education groupEvidence of differencesSignificant associationMortalityEffect estimatesDeathMortality effectsSusceptible populationHealth impactsAmbient monitorsIndividual-level health dataAir pollutionHealth dataAerodynamic diameter
2012
Assessment of the health impacts of particulate matter characteristics.
Bell ML. Assessment of the health impacts of particulate matter characteristics. Research Report 2012, 5-38. PMID: 22393584.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHealth effect estimatesCardiovascular hospital admissionsHospital admissionEffect estimatesMortality effect estimatesHealth effectsCause of hospitalizationAir pollution-related health effectsInterquartile range increasePollution-related health effectsRespiratory hospital admissionsAdverse health effectsHealth effects dataCardiovascular hospitalizationRespiratory hospitalizationsCardiovascular admissionsHigh prevalenceHospitalizationAerodynamic diameterAdmissionCommunity-level variablesObserved associationsSocioeconomic statusHealth impactsPM toxicity
2009
Hospital Admissions and Chemical Composition of Fine Particle Air Pollution
Bell ML, Ebisu K, Peng RD, Samet JM, Dominici F. Hospital Admissions and Chemical Composition of Fine Particle Air Pollution. American Journal Of Respiratory And Critical Care Medicine 2009, 179: 1115-1120. PMID: 19299499, PMCID: PMC2695497, DOI: 10.1164/rccm.200808-1240oc.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2008
Seasonal and Regional Short-term Effects of Fine Particles on Hospital Admissions in 202 US Counties, 1999–2005
Bell ML, Ebisu K, Peng RD, Walker J, Samet JM, Zeger SL, Dominici F. Seasonal and Regional Short-term Effects of Fine Particles on Hospital Admissions in 202 US Counties, 1999–2005. American Journal Of Epidemiology 2008, 168: 1301-1310. PMID: 18854492, PMCID: PMC2732959, DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwn252.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAgedAir PollutantsAir PollutionAlgorithmsCardiovascular DiseasesData Interpretation, StatisticalDatabases, FactualEnvironmental MonitoringEpidemiological MonitoringHospitalizationHumansMedicareParticle SizeParticulate MatterPatient AdmissionRespiratory Tract DiseasesRetrospective StudiesSeasonsTime FactorsUnited States
2005
A Meta-Analysis of Time-Series Studies of Ozone and Mortality With Comparison to the National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study
Bell ML, Dominici F, Samet JM. A Meta-Analysis of Time-Series Studies of Ozone and Mortality With Comparison to the National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study. Epidemiology 2005, 16: 436-445. PMID: 15951661, PMCID: PMC3581312, DOI: 10.1097/01.ede.0000165817.40152.85.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTime-series studyShort-term associationsPublication biasNational MorbidityCause-specific mortalityLag 0Meta-analysis resultsPossible publication biasCity-specific estimatesPooled effectRespiratory mortalityMeta-AnalysisTotal mortalityAge groupsMortalityEffect estimatesMorbidityPositive associationNMMAPSInconclusive resultsAir pollution studiesAssociationOzone exposureEvidenceStrong evidence
2001
Reassessment of the lethal London fog of 1952: novel indicators of acute and chronic consequences of acute exposure to air pollution.
Bell M, Davis D. Reassessment of the lethal London fog of 1952: novel indicators of acute and chronic consequences of acute exposure to air pollution. Environmental Health Perspectives 2001, 109: 389-394. PMID: 11427388, PMCID: PMC1240556, DOI: 10.1289/ehp.01109s3389.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHospital admission ratesHealth insurance claimsPneumonia casesAdmission ratesChronic consequencesRespiratory diseaseInfluenza epidemicsMortality rateAcute exposureExcess deathsInfluenza reportsMortality recordsNovel indicatorPrevious yearLondon SmogMortality increasesPublic healthHealth risksCurrent regulatory standardsInsurance claimsAmbient pollutionRiskSerious riskYearsMorbidity