2023
Spatially-targeted tuberculosis screening has limited impact beyond household contact tracing in Lima, Peru: A model-based analysis
Havumaki J, Warren J, Zelner J, Menzies N, Calderon R, Contreras C, Lecca L, Becerra M, Murray M, Cohen T. Spatially-targeted tuberculosis screening has limited impact beyond household contact tracing in Lima, Peru: A model-based analysis. PLOS ONE 2023, 18: e0293519. PMID: 37903091, PMCID: PMC10615320, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293519.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2021
Comparison of Estimated Effectiveness of Case-Based and Population-Based Interventions on COVID-19 Containment in Taiwan
Ng TC, Cheng HY, Chang HH, Liu CC, Yang CC, Jian SW, Liu DP, Cohen T, Lin HH. Comparison of Estimated Effectiveness of Case-Based and Population-Based Interventions on COVID-19 Containment in Taiwan. JAMA Internal Medicine 2021, 181: 913-921. PMID: 33821922, PMCID: PMC8025126, DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.1644.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPopulation-based interventionsCOVID-19 casesCOVID-19 controlComparative effectiveness research studyComparative effectiveness studiesEffective public health systemCOVID-19Reproduction numberPublic health professionalsPublic health systemCategories of interventionsStochastic branching process modelCase detectionMAIN OUTCOMESubsequent infectionPresymptomatic stagePrimary casesHealth professionalsEffective reproduction numberEstimated EffectivenessSerial intervalEffectiveness studiesHealth systemContact tracingCOVID-19 containmentTest, trace, and isolate in the UK
Cheng HY, Cohen T, Lin HH. Test, trace, and isolate in the UK. The BMJ 2021, 372: n822. PMID: 33789886, DOI: 10.1136/bmj.n822.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchProtective impacts of household-based tuberculosis contact tracing are robust across endemic incidence levels and community contact patterns
Havumaki J, Cohen T, Zhai C, Miller JC, Guikema SD, Eisenberg MC, Zelner J. Protective impacts of household-based tuberculosis contact tracing are robust across endemic incidence levels and community contact patterns. PLOS Computational Biology 2021, 17: e1008713. PMID: 33556077, PMCID: PMC7895355, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008713.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTuberculosis burdenCommunity transmissionGlobal tuberculosis control targetsSustained community transmissionHigh-incidence settingsHigh disease burdenTuberculosis contact tracingLow tuberculosis burdenHousehold contactsHousehold transmissionDisease burdenVaried incidenceContact patternsIncidence levelsProtective impactEpidemiological settingsInfected individualsNew casesProtective benefitsContact tracingCommunity contactsSuch interventionsInterventionBurdenProactive case
2020
Transmission Modeling with Regression Adjustment for Analyzing Household-based Studies of Infectious Disease: Application to Tuberculosis.
Crawford FW, Marx FM, Zelner J, Cohen T. Transmission Modeling with Regression Adjustment for Analyzing Household-based Studies of Infectious Disease: Application to Tuberculosis. Epidemiology 2020, 31: 238-247. PMID: 31764276, PMCID: PMC7718772, DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000001143.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSusceptible household contactsHousehold contactsTB casesBacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccinationInfected household contactsIsoniazid preventive therapyActive tuberculosis casesCulture-positive casesRisk of diseaseCohort studyMicrobiological confirmationPreventive therapyTuberculosis casesRisk factorsInfection resultsAdult contactsInfection riskInfectious diseasesLogistic regressionRate of transmissionTransmissible diseasesDiseaseIndividual-level characteristicsHigher hazardDisease susceptibilityThe risk of tuberculosis in children after close exposure: a systematic review and individual-participant meta-analysis
Martinez L, Cords O, Horsburgh C, Andrews J, Consortium P, Acuna-Villaorduna C, Ahuja S, Altet N, Augusto O, Baliashvili D, Basu S, Becerra M, Bonnet M, Boom W, Borgdorff M, Boulahbal F, Carvalho A, Cayla J, Chakhaia T, Chan P, Cohen T, Croda J, Datta S, del Corral H, Denholm J, Dietze R, Dobler C, Donkor S, Egere U, Ellner J, Espinal M, Evans C, Fang C, Fielding K, Fox G, García L, García-Basteiro A, Geis S, Graham S, Grandjean L, Hannoun D, Hatherill M, Hauri A, Hesseling A, Hill P, Huang L, Huerga H, Hussain R, Jarlsberg L, Jones-López E, Kato S, Kato-Maeda M, Kampmann B, Kirchner H, Kritski A, Lange C, Lee C, Lee L, Lee M, Lemos A, Lienhardt C, Ling D, Liu Q, Lo N, Long R, Lopez-Varela E, Lu P, Magee M, Malone L, Mandalakas A, Martinson N, Mazahir R, Murray M, Netto E, Otero L, Parsonnet J, Reingold A, Schaaf H, Seddon J, Sharma S, Singh J, Singh S, Sloot R, Sotgiu G, Stein C, Iqbal N, Triasih R, Trieu L, van der Loeff M, Van der Stuyft P, van Schalkwyk C, Vashishtha R, Verhagen L, Villalba J, Wang J, Whalen C, Yoshiyama T, Zar H, Zellweger J, Zhu L. The risk of tuberculosis in children after close exposure: a systematic review and individual-participant meta-analysis. The Lancet 2020, 395: 973-984. PMID: 32199484, PMCID: PMC7289654, DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30166-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsYears of agePreventive therapyIncident tuberculosisTuberculosis infectionHazard ratioTuberculosis casesMixed-effects Poisson regression modelsSystematic reviewFinal analysisClose exposureIncident tuberculosis casesRisk of tuberculosisDevelopment of tuberculosisEMBASE electronic databasesIndividual participant dataPositive resultsPoisson regression modelsWeb of ScienceMixed-effects logistic modelBCG vaccinationCohort studyBaseline visitPrevalent tuberculosisContact investigationProspective study
2019
Transmissibility and potential for disease progression of drug resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis: prospective cohort study
Becerra MC, Huang CC, Lecca L, Bayona J, Contreras C, Calderon R, Yataco R, Galea J, Zhang Z, Atwood S, Cohen T, Mitnick CD, Farmer P, Murray M. Transmissibility and potential for disease progression of drug resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis: prospective cohort study. The BMJ 2019, 367: l5894. PMID: 31649017, PMCID: PMC6812583, DOI: 10.1136/bmj.l5894.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdolescentAdultAgedAntitubercular AgentsChildChild, PreschoolContact TracingDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornIsoniazidKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMicrobial Sensitivity TestsMiddle AgedMycobacterium tuberculosisPeruProspective StudiesRifampinSputumTuberculin TestTuberculosis, Multidrug-ResistantTuberculosis, PulmonaryYoung AdultConceptsDrug-sensitive tuberculosisMultidrug-resistant tuberculosisHousehold contactsProspective cohort studySensitive tuberculosisTuberculosis infectionResistant tuberculosisCohort studyTuberculosis diseaseHigh riskDrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosisIncident tuberculosis diseasePhenotypic drug resistanceDistrict Health CenterResistant Mycobacterium tuberculosisDrug-susceptible strainsDrug resistance profilesActive diseasePulmonary tuberculosisDisease progressionGuideline producersHealth centersIndex patientsEffective treatmentPatients
2014
Cigarette smoking among tuberculosis patients increases risk of transmission to child contacts
Huang CC, Tchetgen ET, Becerra MC, Cohen T, Galea J, Calderon R, Yataco R, Contreras C, Zhang ZB, Lecca L, Murray M. Cigarette smoking among tuberculosis patients increases risk of transmission to child contacts. The International Journal Of Tuberculosis And Lung Disease 2014, 18: 1285-1291. PMID: 25299859, DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.14.0309.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLatent tuberculous infectionTuberculin skin testTB patientsIndex caseChild household contactsDrug-susceptible TBIndex TB patientsObservational cohort studySecondhand smoke exposureRisk of transmissionPoisson regression modelsHousehold contactsCohort studyTST positivityTuberculosis patientsTuberculous infectionSmoke exposureSmoking statusTuberculosis casesCigarette smokingSkin testRisk factorsPatientsInfection statusTime pointsBacillus Calmette-Guérin and Isoniazid Preventive Therapy Protect Contacts of Patients with Tuberculosis
Zelner JL, Murray MB, Becerra MC, Galea J, Lecca L, Calderon R, Yataco R, Contreras C, Zhang Z, Grenfell BT, Cohen T. Bacillus Calmette-Guérin and Isoniazid Preventive Therapy Protect Contacts of Patients with Tuberculosis. American Journal Of Respiratory And Critical Care Medicine 2014, 189: 853-859. PMID: 24592878, PMCID: PMC4225829, DOI: 10.1164/rccm.201310-1896oc.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdolescentAdultAge FactorsAgedAged, 80 and overAntitubercular AgentsBCG VaccineChildChild, PreschoolContact TracingFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansInfantIsoniazidMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalModels, TheoreticalMultivariate AnalysisOdds RatioPeruProspective StudiesTreatment OutcomeTuberculosis, PulmonaryYoung AdultConceptsIsoniazid preventive therapyAge-specific efficacyLatent TB infectionIncident tuberculosisHousehold contactsTB diseaseTB infectionPulmonary tuberculosisRisk ratioUse of IPTObservational prospective cohort studyBacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccinationHigh TB burden settingsAdditional TB casesHIV-positive contactsIncident pulmonary tuberculosisHIV-negative childrenProspective cohort studyPublic Health CenterBacillus Calmette-GuérinYear-long followWorld Health OrganizationCohort studyPreventive therapyTB cases
2012
The dynamics of sexual contact networks: Effects on disease spread and control
Robinson K, Cohen T, Colijn C. The dynamics of sexual contact networks: Effects on disease spread and control. Theoretical Population Biology 2012, 81: 89-96. PMID: 22248701, PMCID: PMC3328800, DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2011.12.009.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDuration of infectiousnessHigh-activity individualsBehavioral interventionsBehavioral risk factorsControl of STDsHigh-risk individualsDifferent risk groupsWidespread screening programsHigh-risk subpopulationsPopulation-wide interventionsSexual network structureIndividual-level riskRisk factorsRisk groupsScreening programRisk subpopulationsGreater relative decreaseDynamics of transmissionSexual contactSexual partnershipsBiomedical interventionsInfectiousnessLonger durationComparable benefitsIntervention
2011
Modelling the performance of isoniazid preventive therapy for reducing tuberculosis in HIV endemic settings: the effects of network structure
Mills HL, Cohen T, Colijn C. Modelling the performance of isoniazid preventive therapy for reducing tuberculosis in HIV endemic settings: the effects of network structure. Journal Of The Royal Society Interface 2011, 8: 1510-1520. PMID: 21508012, PMCID: PMC3163428, DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2011.0160.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTB diseaseLatent M. tuberculosis infectionEffects of IptHIV-endemic settingsActive tuberculosis diseaseIsoniazid preventive therapyIntact immune systemM. tuberculosis infectionWorld Health OrganizationPreventive therapyTB casesTuberculosis infectionTuberculosis diseaseClinical trialsEndemic settingsIPT programHigh riskLatent infectionSingle drugCommunity-wide levelRespiratory contactHIVImmune systemPopulation-level impactUse of IPT
2003
Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Cooper B, Robins JM, Ma S, James L, Gopalakrishna G, Chew SK, Tan CC, Samore MH, Fisman D, Murray M. Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. Science 2003, 300: 1966-1970. PMID: 12766207, PMCID: PMC2760158, DOI: 10.1126/science.1086616.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSevere acute respiratory syndromeAcute respiratory syndromeRespiratory syndromePublic health effortsDetailed epidemiologic dataSingle infectious caseEpidemiologic dataSecondary casesAbsence of interventionInfectious casesEpidemic curveTransmission dynamicsSyndromeReproductive numberControl measuresIllnessIllnesses of humansMonths