2020
Time Since Infection and Risks of Future Disease for Individuals with Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in the United States
Menzies NA, Swartwood N, Testa C, Malyuta Y, Hill AN, Marks SM, Cohen T, Salomon JA. Time Since Infection and Risks of Future Disease for Individuals with Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in the United States. Epidemiology 2020, 32: 70-78. PMID: 33009253, PMCID: PMC7707158, DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000001271.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLatent TB infectionMycobacterium tuberculosis infectionTB infectionTuberculosis infectionTB natural historyRisk of tuberculosisMost TB casesRate of progressionYounger age groupsLower future riskTransmission dynamic modelTB casesTB riskPrevalent infectionProgression riskLifetime riskRisk factorsIncidence trendsClinical diseaseCumulative riskGeneral populationAverage ageNew infectionsUS populationAge groups
2012
Population Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Tuberculosis Diagnosis with Xpert MTB/RIF: A Dynamic Simulation and Economic Evaluation
Menzies NA, Cohen T, Lin HH, Murray M, Salomon JA. Population Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Tuberculosis Diagnosis with Xpert MTB/RIF: A Dynamic Simulation and Economic Evaluation. PLOS Medicine 2012, 9: e1001347. PMID: 23185139, PMCID: PMC3502465, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001347.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMultidrug-resistant TBCost-effectiveness ratioInitial diagnosisXpert MTB/RIF testMTB/RIF testXpert MTB/RIFIntroduction of XpertTB natural historyTB-HIV coinfectionMultidrug-resistant tuberculosisHigh HIV prevalenceMTB/RIFHealth system costsImplementation of XpertHealth impactsPopulation health impactCost-effectiveness resultsLong-term transmission dynamicsWorld Health OrganizationAntiretroviral therapyTB casesTB deathsTB morbidityHIV prevalenceRIF test
2010
The Impact of Realistic Age Structure in Simple Models of Tuberculosis Transmission
Brooks-Pollock E, Cohen T, Murray M. The Impact of Realistic Age Structure in Simple Models of Tuberculosis Transmission. PLOS ONE 2010, 5: e8479. PMID: 20062531, PMCID: PMC2797602, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0008479.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSimple modelReproductive ratioRealistic age structureSteady-state dynamicsBasic reproductive ratioMathematical descriptionMathematical modelParameter estimationRepresentative of modelsAnalytic argumentsInterpretation of modelsTuberculosis transmissionModelling assumptionsTB modelControl interventionsTB natural historyChronic infectious diseaseDisease dynamicsPublic health interventionsRealistic distributionExponential lifetimesAsymptomatic latent infectionIndividual-based modelPrevalence of infectionActive disease