2023
Assessing the use of observational methods and real-world data to emulate ongoing randomized controlled trials
Wallach J, Deng Y, Polley E, Dhruva S, Herrin J, Quinto K, Gandotra C, Crown W, Noseworthy P, Yao X, Jeffery M, Lyon T, Ross J, McCoy R. Assessing the use of observational methods and real-world data to emulate ongoing randomized controlled trials. Clinical Trials 2023, 20: 689-698. PMID: 37589143, PMCID: PMC10843567, DOI: 10.1177/17407745231193137.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsBaseline participant characteristicsParticipant characteristicsPrimary endpointSecondary endpointsTrial publicationsMajor adverse cardiovascular eventsPropensity score-matched participantsFirst major adverse cardiovascular eventAdverse cardiovascular eventsBaseline patient characteristicsNonfatal myocardial infarctionOptumLabs Data WarehouseElectronic health record dataRepresentative patient populationHealth record dataCardiovascular eventsClinical characteristicsPatient characteristicsPatient populationMyocardial infarctionExclusion criteriaDrug effectivenessTrialsRecord dataEndpointIdentifying treatment heterogeneity in atrial fibrillation using a novel causal machine learning method
Ngufor C, Yao X, Inselman J, Ross J, Dhruva S, Graham D, Lee J, Siontis K, Desai N, Polley E, Shah N, Noseworthy P, MN; New Haven C. Identifying treatment heterogeneity in atrial fibrillation using a novel causal machine learning method. American Heart Journal 2023, 260: 124-140. PMID: 36893934, PMCID: PMC10615250, DOI: 10.1016/j.ahj.2023.02.015.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsOral anticoagulantsAtrial fibrillationPatient subgroupsComposite outcomeIschemic strokeEffect of OACsLifelong oral anticoagulationNonvitamin K antagonistNew oral anticoagulantsNonvalvular atrial fibrillationPrimary composite outcomeGlomerular filtration rateFuture prospective studiesOptumLabs Data WarehousePopulation-level effectivenessOAC useOral anticoagulationVASc scoreCause mortalityK antagonistsPrimary endpointWarfarin usersRenal functionAF patientsEntire cohort
2022
Protocol for the development of SPIRIT and CONSORT extensions for randomised controlled trials with surrogate primary endpoints: SPIRIT-SURROGATE and CONSORT-SURROGATE
Manyara AM, Davies P, Stewart D, Weir CJ, Young A, Butcher NJ, Bujkiewicz S, Chan AW, Collins GS, Dawoud D, Offringa M, Ouwens M, Ross JS, Taylor RS, Ciani O. Protocol for the development of SPIRIT and CONSORT extensions for randomised controlled trials with surrogate primary endpoints: SPIRIT-SURROGATE and CONSORT-SURROGATE. BMJ Open 2022, 12: e064304. PMID: 36220321, PMCID: PMC9557267, DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064304.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSurrogate endpointsPeer-reviewed publicationsSurrogate primary endpointOpen-access peer-reviewed publicationPATIENTS/PARTICIPANTSCompleteness of reportingTranslation of effectsPhase 1Primary endpointPrimary outcomeTrial findingsEthical approvalCONSORT extensionSuch trialsEthics CommitteeEndpointHealth benefitsTrialsPhase 3Final outcomePhase 2Transparent reportingOutcomesPhase 4Additional items
2020
Non-inferiority trials using a surrogate marker as the primary endpoint: An increasing phenotype in cardiovascular trials
Bikdeli B, Caraballo C, Welsh J, Ross JS, Kaul S, Stone GW, Krumholz HM. Non-inferiority trials using a surrogate marker as the primary endpoint: An increasing phenotype in cardiovascular trials. Clinical Trials 2020, 17: 723-728. PMID: 32838556, PMCID: PMC8088773, DOI: 10.1177/1740774520949157.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNon-inferiority trialPrimary endpointClinical outcome trialsNon-inferiority marginSurrogate markerNon-inferiority designCardiovascular trialsOutcome trialsClinical outcomesDefinitive clinical outcome trialsNon-inferiority criteriaStudy protocolSurrogate outcomesBACKGROUND/Median numberSurrogate endpointsPrimary analysisCardiovascular interventionsCardiovascular medicineTrialsEndpointClinical interpretationOutcomesMarkersIntervention
2018
Comparison of treatment effect sizes from pivotal and postapproval trials of novel therapeutics approved by the FDA based on surrogate markers of disease: a meta-epidemiological study
Wallach JD, Ciani O, Pease AM, Gonsalves GS, Krumholz HM, Taylor RS, Ross JS. Comparison of treatment effect sizes from pivotal and postapproval trials of novel therapeutics approved by the FDA based on surrogate markers of disease: a meta-epidemiological study. BMC Medicine 2018, 16: 45. PMID: 29562926, PMCID: PMC5863466, DOI: 10.1186/s12916-018-1023-9.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPostapproval trialsPivotal trialsActual clinical effectSurrogate markerTrial endpointsLarge treatment effectsPrimary endpointNovel therapeuticsNovel drugsTreatment effectsFDA approvalPatient-relevant outcomesMeta-epidemiological studyStandardized mean differenceTreatment effect sizeClinical effectsResultsBetween 2005Odds ratioDrug trialsSame indicationDrug AdministrationEvidence of differencesMean differenceU.S. FoodDisease
2017
Postapproval studies of drugs initially approved by the FDA on the basis of limited evidence: systematic review
Pease AM, Krumholz HM, Downing NS, Aminawung JA, Shah ND, Ross JS. Postapproval studies of drugs initially approved by the FDA on the basis of limited evidence: systematic review. The BMJ 2017, 357: j1680. PMID: 28468750, PMCID: PMC5421452, DOI: 10.1136/bmj.j1680.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSingle pivotal trialPivotal trialsPostapproval studiesSurrogate markerPrimary endpointNovel drugsClinical outcomesClinical studiesLimited evidenceSystematic reviewDouble-blind studyMedian total numberClinical evidenceSuperior efficacyBlind studyDrug AdministrationOriginal FDATrial approvalDiseaseTrialsDrugsFDAEndpointEfficacyMarkersTwo Decades of Cardiovascular Trials With Primary Surrogate Endpoints: 1990–2011
Bikdeli B, Punnanithinont N, Akram Y, Lee I, Desai NR, Ross JS, Krumholz HM. Two Decades of Cardiovascular Trials With Primary Surrogate Endpoints: 1990–2011. Journal Of The American Heart Association 2017, 6: e005285. PMID: 28325713, PMCID: PMC5524035, DOI: 10.1161/jaha.116.005285.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsClinical outcome trialsOutcome trialsEndpoint trialsPrimary endpointCardiovascular trialsClinical outcome studiesClinical outcomesSurrogate markerPatient's perspectiveSurrogate endpointsOutcome studiesNew England JournalSample cohortTrial resultsTrialsSurrogate trialsEndpointPositive resultsAmerican MedicalInterventionHigh-impact journalsCohortClinical Evidence Supporting US Food and Drug Administration Approval of Otolaryngologic Prescription Drug Indications, 2005‐2014
Rathi VK, Wang B, Ross JS, Downing NS, Kesselheim AS, Gray ST. Clinical Evidence Supporting US Food and Drug Administration Approval of Otolaryngologic Prescription Drug Indications, 2005‐2014. Otolaryngology 2017, 156: 683-692. PMID: 28116974, DOI: 10.1177/0194599816689666.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPivotal studiesOriginal indicationPrimary endpointClinical evidenceDrug indicationsSupplemental indicationsUS FoodFDA approvalAvailable FDA documentsDouble-blinded studyDrug Administration approvalInformed treatment decisionsPivotal clinical studiesPremarket evidenceOtolaryngologic diseaseMedian enrollmentSurrogate markerAdministration approvalClinical studiesTreatment decisionsMost indicationsDrug AdministrationInitial approvalMultidisciplinary teamPrescription drugs