2023
Planning for Mpox on a College Campus: A Model-Based Decision-Support Tool.
Savinkina A, Chitwood M, Kwon J, Pitzer V, Gonsalves G, Paltiel A. Planning for Mpox on a College Campus: A Model-Based Decision-Support Tool. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2023, 176: 340-347. PMID: 36716454, PMCID: PMC10338074, DOI: 10.7326/m22-2734.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSustained transmissionNational InstituteLow-risk groupHigh-risk populationPopulation of MSMHealth-National InstituteResidential college campusSymptomatic casesHypothetical cohortCongregate settingsStudy populationPreemptive vaccinationReactive vaccinationInfectious diseasesVaccinationDrug abuseBasic reproductive numberFuture outbreaksFrequent physical contactMSMReproductive numberOutbreakDaysMenTimely detection
2018
Dynamics of the HIV outbreak and response in Scott County, IN, USA, 2011–15: a modelling study
Gonsalves GS, Crawford FW. Dynamics of the HIV outbreak and response in Scott County, IN, USA, 2011–15: a modelling study. The Lancet HIV 2018, 5: e569-e577. PMID: 30220531, PMCID: PMC6192548, DOI: 10.1016/s2352-3018(18)30176-0.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsUndiagnosed HIV infectionHIV infectionUS National InstitutesHIV outbreakPublic health responseCase-finding rateNumber of infectionsNational InstituteHealth responseCumulative HIV incidenceHIV transmission ratesEarly public health responsesHarm reduction interventionsScott CountyPublic health emergencyHIV testingHIV incidenceHIV servicesUS CentersNascent epidemicsPrevention servicesInfectionDisease controlSame interventionDrug abuse
2017
Do Less Harm: Evaluating HIV Programmatic Alternatives in Response to Cutbacks in Foreign Aid.
Walensky RP, Borre ED, Bekker LG, Hyle EP, Gonsalves GS, Wood R, Eholié SP, Weinstein MC, Anglaret X, Freedberg KA, Paltiel AD. Do Less Harm: Evaluating HIV Programmatic Alternatives in Response to Cutbacks in Foreign Aid. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2017, 167: 618-629. PMID: 28847013, PMCID: PMC5675810, DOI: 10.7326/m17-1358.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsYears of lifeHIV transmissionHIV programsFuture incident casesSecond-line ARTHIV care continuumViral load monitoringAdverse clinical consequencesResource-limited nationsBase-case analysisCurrent standardHIV deathsIncident casesCôte d'IvoireCare continuumART efficacyClinical consequencesHIV detectionLess HarmHIVSocietal perspectiveProductivity costsNational InstituteDeathYears