2020
The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks
Moghadas SM, Fitzpatrick MC, Sah P, Pandey A, Shoukat A, Singer BH, Galvani AP. The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America 2020, 117: 17513-17515. PMID: 32632012, PMCID: PMC7395516, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2008373117.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSilent infectionSymptomatic casesAsymptomatic transmissionSilent transmissionPopulation-wide restrictionsRisk of resurgenceRapid contact tracingRecent individual-level dataCoronavirus disease 2019Symptom onsetAsymptomatic proportionAsymptomatic infectionDisease 2019Majority of incidencesPresymptomatic stagePresymptomatic casesInfected individualsContact tracingInfectionFuture outbreaksCOVID-19 outbreakSocial distancing measuresOne-thirdMovement restrictionsDistancing measuresImpact of international travel and border control measures on the global spread of the novel 2019 coronavirus outbreak
Wells CR, Sah P, Moghadas SM, Pandey A, Shoukat A, Wang Y, Wang Z, Meyers LA, Singer BH, Galvani AP. Impact of international travel and border control measures on the global spread of the novel 2019 coronavirus outbreak. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America 2020, 117: 7504-7509. PMID: 32170017, PMCID: PMC7132249, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2002616117.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAppropriate public health responseSARS-CoV-2 casesSevere acute respiratory syndrome casesCOVID-19 outbreakImportation of casesPublic health responseInternational travelControl measuresSyndrome casesCoronavirus outbreakHealth responseGlobal spreadTravel restrictionsNovel coronavirus outbreakBorder control measuresDaily riskHalf weeksOutbreakEarly stagesCasesMainland China
2019
The exacerbation of Ebola outbreaks by conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Wells CR, Pandey A, Mbah M, Gaüzère BA, Malvy D, Singer BH, Galvani AP. The exacerbation of Ebola outbreaks by conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America 2019, 116: 24366-24372. PMID: 31636188, PMCID: PMC6883813, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1913980116.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCase isolationEbola treatment centersPopulation-level effectivenessPublic health responseHealthcare workersVaccination effortsTreatment centersHealth responseEbola transmissionInfectious diseasesEpidemic trajectoriesEbola outbreakDisease transmissionIncidenceEpidemicTemporal incidenceDemocratic RepublicExacerbationVaccinationDisease
2018
Defining control of HIV epidemics
Galvani AP, Pandey A, Fitzpatrick MC, Medlock J, Gray GE. Defining control of HIV epidemics. The Lancet HIV 2018, 5: e667-e670. PMID: 30314745, DOI: 10.1016/s2352-3018(18)30178-4.Peer-Reviewed Original Research