2022
Reconstructing the course of the COVID-19 epidemic over 2020 for US states and counties: Results of a Bayesian evidence synthesis model
Chitwood MH, Russi M, Gunasekera K, Havumaki J, Klaassen F, Pitzer VE, Salomon JA, Swartwood NA, Warren JL, Weinberger DM, Cohen T, Menzies NA. Reconstructing the course of the COVID-19 epidemic over 2020 for US states and counties: Results of a Bayesian evidence synthesis model. PLOS Computational Biology 2022, 18: e1010465. PMID: 36040963, PMCID: PMC9467347, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010465.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSARS-CoV-2 infectionCOVID-19 casesIncident SARS-CoV-2 infectionCOVID-19 disease burdenSymptomatic COVID-19 casesLocal epidemiological trendsSARS-CoV-2 transmissionBayesian evidence synthesis modelCOVID-19 outcomesEvidence synthesis modelMagnitude of infectionCOVID-19 deathsCumulative incidenceDisease burdenExcess mortalityCase ascertainmentEpidemiological trendsSeroprevalence estimatesUnderlying incidenceUS populationDisease trendsViral transmission dynamicsInfectionEpidemiological driversCOVID-19 epidemic
2021
Evaluating the reliability of mobility metrics from aggregated mobile phone data as proxies for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the USA: a population-based study
Kishore N, Taylor AR, Jacob PE, Vembar N, Cohen T, Buckee CO, Menzies NA. Evaluating the reliability of mobility metrics from aggregated mobile phone data as proxies for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the USA: a population-based study. The Lancet Digital Health 2021, 4: e27-e36. PMID: 34740555, PMCID: PMC8563007, DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(21)00214-4.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSARS-CoV-2 transmissionPopulation-based studyLaboratory-confirmed casesSARS-CoV-2 pandemicSARS-CoV-2Non-pharmaceutical interventionsCOVID-19 transmissionCOVID-19 casesEpidemiological dataReproduction numberEffective reproduction numberHealth StatisticsEquity of accessEpidemic trajectoriesCOVID-19Public healthTransmission indicatorsPopulation levelContact patternsComparison of Estimated Effectiveness of Case-Based and Population-Based Interventions on COVID-19 Containment in Taiwan
Ng TC, Cheng HY, Chang HH, Liu CC, Yang CC, Jian SW, Liu DP, Cohen T, Lin HH. Comparison of Estimated Effectiveness of Case-Based and Population-Based Interventions on COVID-19 Containment in Taiwan. JAMA Internal Medicine 2021, 181: 913-921. PMID: 33821922, PMCID: PMC8025126, DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2021.1644.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPopulation-based interventionsCOVID-19 casesCOVID-19 controlComparative effectiveness research studyComparative effectiveness studiesEffective public health systemCOVID-19Reproduction numberPublic health professionalsPublic health systemCategories of interventionsStochastic branching process modelCase detectionMAIN OUTCOMESubsequent infectionPresymptomatic stagePrimary casesHealth professionalsEffective reproduction numberEstimated EffectivenessSerial intervalEffectiveness studiesHealth systemContact tracingCOVID-19 containment