1990
Self-Deferral, HIV Infection, and the Blood Supply
Kaplan E, Novick A. Self-Deferral, HIV Infection, and the Blood Supply. Evaluation Review 1990, 14: 686-700. DOI: 10.1177/0193841x9001400609.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchHow bad can it get? bounding worst case endemic heterogenous mixing models of HIV/AIDS
Kaplan E, Lee Y. How bad can it get? bounding worst case endemic heterogenous mixing models of HIV/AIDS. Mathematical Biosciences 1990, 99: 157-180. PMID: 2134517, DOI: 10.1016/0025-5564(90)90002-g.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHIV/AIDSHIV transmissionInfected personsEndemic steady stateMore complex modelsPublic health interventionsUpper boundsSexual activity ratesMaximum numberParameter valuesWorst-case resultsComplex modelsWorst-case numberHealth interventionsCase numbersNumber of personsRandom mixingHeterogeneous mixingSimple modelAIDSSteady stateWorst case
1989
What are the Risks of Risky Sex? Modeling the AIDS Epidemic
Kaplan E. What are the Risks of Risky Sex? Modeling the AIDS Epidemic. Operations Research 1989, 37: 198-209. DOI: 10.1287/opre.37.2.198.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchHIV infectionSex lifeAIDS Cohort StudyEpidemic of AIDSAIDS case ratesArbitrary probability distributionsSex rateCohort studyHIV prevalenceCase ratesAIDSAIDS epidemicInfectionMathematical modelRisky sexProbability distributionEpidemicPrevalenceAIDS modelLife distributionRandom partner selectionGeneral modelSan FranciscoVaccineNeedles That Kill: Modeling Human Immunodeficiency Virus Transmission via Shared Drug Injection Equipment in Shooting Galleries
Kaplan E. Needles That Kill: Modeling Human Immunodeficiency Virus Transmission via Shared Drug Injection Equipment in Shooting Galleries. Clinical Infectious Diseases 1989, 11: 289-298. PMID: 2704927, DOI: 10.1093/clinids/11.2.289.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHuman immunodeficiency virusDrug injection equipmentInfectivity of HIVDrug usersHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmissionInjection equipmentIntravenous drug usersCase notification dataHIV infectiousnessIntravenous transmissionImmunodeficiency virusAIDS casesNotification dataU.S. CentersShooting galleriesDisease controlVirus transmissionDrug addictsAIDSAddictsRapid spreadPopulationBloodInfectiousnessMonths