2024
Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels
Chen K, de Schrijver E, Sivaraj S, Sera F, Scovronick N, Jiang L, Roye D, Lavigne E, Kyselý J, Urban A, Schneider A, Huber V, Madureira J, Mistry M, Cvijanovic I, Gasparrini A, Vicedo-Cabrera A. Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels. Nature Communications 2024, 15: 1796. PMID: 38413648, PMCID: PMC10899213, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland
de Schrijver E, Sivaraj S, Raible C, Franco O, Chen K, Vicedo-Cabrera A. Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland. Environmental Research Letters 2023, 18: 094010. PMID: 38854588, PMCID: PMC7616072, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace7e1.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchClimate changeCold-related mortalityTemperature dataPopulation developmentDevelopment scenariosMortality rate projectionsScenarios of climate changeScenarios of global warmingProgressive warmingWarming targetsHeat-related mortalityWarming scenariosMortality impactRCP8.5/SSP5Combination of emissionGlobal warmingWarmingTime series analysisClimateMortality trendsTemporal patternsCold temperaturesBaseline periodSeries analysisProject heating
2018
Future ozone-related acute excess mortality under climate and population change scenarios in China: A modeling study
Chen K, Fiore AM, Chen R, Jiang L, Jones B, Schneider A, Peters A, Bi J, Kan H, Kinney PL. Future ozone-related acute excess mortality under climate and population change scenarios in China: A modeling study. PLOS Medicine 2018, 15: e1002598. PMID: 29969446, PMCID: PMC6029756, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002598.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdolescentAdultAge DistributionAge FactorsAgedAir PollutantsCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathChildChild, PreschoolChinaClimate ChangeEnvironmental MonitoringFemaleHealth StatusHumansInfantInfant, NewbornInhalation ExposureMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalOzonePopulation DynamicsPrognosisRespiratory Tract DiseasesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSeasonsTime FactorsUrban HealthVehicle EmissionsYoung AdultConceptsGlobal chemistry-climate modelChemistry-climate modelOzone-related mortalityRepresentative Concentration PathwaysEmission scenariosHigh global warmingGlobal warmingClimate changeChange scenariosOzone pollutionClimate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration PathwaysEmission scenario RCP8.5Emission scenarios RCP4.5Future ozone projectionsStatistical downscaling approachModerate global warmingOzone precursor emissionsFine spatial resolutionSpatial resolutionHigh ambient ozoneOzone projectionsOzone changesOzone observationsScenario RCP8.5Change projections