2023
Predicting indirect effects of rotavirus vaccination programs on rotavirus mortality among children in 112 countries
Kraay A, Chaney D, Deshpande A, Pitzer V, Lopman B. Predicting indirect effects of rotavirus vaccination programs on rotavirus mortality among children in 112 countries. Npj Vaccines 2023, 8: 32. PMID: 36871093, PMCID: PMC9985632, DOI: 10.1038/s41541-023-00632-y.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchRotavirus vaccinationVaccine coveragePost-vaccine introductionHigh vaccine coverageRotavirus vaccination programLow vaccine coverageBirth rateWHO European RegionRotavirus deathsRotavirus mortalityRotavirus vaccineMiddle-income countriesVaccine impactDiarrhea deathsVaccination programIndirect protectionVaccinationEffect estimatesMortalityWestern Pacific RegionRegression analysisDirect protectionIncome countriesDeathHigh birth rate
2022
Predicting the long-term impact of rotavirus vaccination in 112 countries from 2006 to 2034: A transmission modeling analysis
Kraay A, Steele M, Baker J, Hall E, Deshpande A, Saidzosa B, Mukaratirwa A, Boula A, Mpabalwani E, Kiulia N, Tsolenyanu E, Enweronu-Laryea C, Abebe A, Beyene B, Tefera M, Willilo R, Batmunkh N, Pastore R, Mwenda J, Antoni S, Cohen A, Pitzer V, Lopman B. Predicting the long-term impact of rotavirus vaccination in 112 countries from 2006 to 2034: A transmission modeling analysis. Vaccine 2022, 40: 6631-6639. PMID: 36210251, PMCID: PMC10351612, DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.09.072.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsRotavirus vaccinationRotavirus positivityVaccine introductionOne-dose scheduleTwo-dose seriesRotavirus burdenRotavirus casesRotavirus gastroenteritisHospital admissionMiddle-income countriesVaccine impactVaccinated individualsLong-term impactMortality burdenPercent reductionVaccinationLife yearsIndirect protectionLow-income countriesLong-term magnitudePositivityDeathBurdenYearsIntroduction Data
2014
Predicting the Impact of Vaccination on the Transmission Dynamics of Typhoid in South Asia: A Mathematical Modeling Study
Pitzer VE, Bowles CC, Baker S, Kang G, Balaji V, Farrar JJ, Grenfell BT. Predicting the Impact of Vaccination on the Transmission Dynamics of Typhoid in South Asia: A Mathematical Modeling Study. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 2014, 8: e2642. PMID: 24416466, PMCID: PMC3886927, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002642.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsChristian Medical College HospitalSubstantial indirect protectionMedical College HospitalCulture-confirmed casesImpact of vaccinationIncidence of typhoidTransmission dynamicsOne-time campaignChronic carriersCollege HospitalVaccination strategiesEndemic settingsTyphoid feverVaccinationTyphoid infectionTyphoid casesNatural historyIndirect protectionVi polysaccharideBasic reproductive numberTyphoidIncidenceTyphoid incidenceAge distributionReproductive number