2022
Phylogeography and transmission of M. tuberculosis in Moldova: A prospective genomic analysis
Yang C, Sobkowiak B, Naidu V, Codreanu A, Ciobanu N, Gunasekera KS, Chitwood MH, Alexandru S, Bivol S, Russi M, Havumaki J, Cudahy P, Fosburgh H, Allender CJ, Centner H, Engelthaler DM, Menzies NA, Warren JL, Crudu V, Colijn C, Cohen T. Phylogeography and transmission of M. tuberculosis in Moldova: A prospective genomic analysis. PLOS Medicine 2022, 19: e1003933. PMID: 35192619, PMCID: PMC8903246, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003933.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMultidrug-resistant tuberculosisDrug-resistant M. tuberculosisM. tuberculosis strainsPutative transmission clustersM. tuberculosisTransmission clustersMultidrug-resistant M. tuberculosis strainsTuberculosis strainsMultiple M. tuberculosis strainsCulture-positive TB casesLocal transmissionMDR-TB epidemicDrug-susceptible tuberculosisDrug resistance mutationsDrug resistance profilesUrgency of interventionTB casesDemographic dataNew casesTuberculosisInadequate treatmentNatural historyResistance mutationsBeijing lineageMycobacterium tuberculosis
2021
Global estimates of paediatric tuberculosis incidence in 2013–19: a mathematical modelling analysis
Yerramsetti S, Cohen T, Atun R, Menzies NA. Global estimates of paediatric tuberculosis incidence in 2013–19: a mathematical modelling analysis. The Lancet Global Health 2021, 10: e207-e215. PMID: 34895517, PMCID: PMC8800006, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(21)00462-9.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPediatric tuberculosisTuberculosis incidenceStudy periodIncident tuberculosis casesTuberculosis incidence rateReporting systemHigh-burden settingsGlobal tuberculosis burdenTuberculosis natural historyPediatric incidenceInfectious exposurePrompt diagnosisSubstantial morbidityTuberculosis burdenTuberculosis casesIncidence rateRisk factorsCase detectionGlobal incidenceProbability of infectionInfected individualsAge groupsNatural historyTuberculosisIncidence
2018
Progression from latent infection to active disease in dynamic tuberculosis transmission models: a systematic review of the validity of modelling assumptions
Menzies NA, Wolf E, Connors D, Bellerose M, Sbarra AN, Cohen T, Hill AN, Yaesoubi R, Galer K, White PJ, Abubakar I, Salomon JA. Progression from latent infection to active disease in dynamic tuberculosis transmission models: a systematic review of the validity of modelling assumptions. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2018, 18: e228-e238. PMID: 29653698, PMCID: PMC6070419, DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(18)30134-8.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTuberculosis transmission modelActive diseaseCumulative incidenceRisk factorsSystematic reviewNatural historyFeatures of epidemiologyDisease natural historyIndividual risk factorsTuberculosis natural historyEarliest available dateWeb of ScienceAnnual incidenceCochrane LibraryTuberculosis incidenceInclusion criteriaFuture tuberculosisLatent infectionInitial infectionIncidenceSubstantial proportionPopulation groupsAvailable dateInfectionDisease
2011
Epidemiologic Inference From the Distribution of Tuberculosis Cases in Households in Lima, Peru
Brooks-Pollock E, Becerra MC, Goldstein E, Cohen T, Murray MB. Epidemiologic Inference From the Distribution of Tuberculosis Cases in Households in Lima, Peru. The Journal Of Infectious Diseases 2011, 203: 1582-1589. PMID: 21592987, PMCID: PMC3096792, DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jir162.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHousehold contactsCommunity transmissionHousehold casesPrevious TB infectionNew TB casesHigh-incidence settingsHousehold risk factorsClustering of casesDistribution of casesMajority of casesRisk of diseaseTB infectionActive tuberculosisTB casesCase patientsProtective immunityTuberculosis casesHousehold transmissionRisk factorsNumber of casesHousehold exposureNatural historyTuberculosisCross-sectional dataImmunity
2008
Mathematical Modeling of Tuberculosis Transmission Dynamics
Cohen T, Colijn C, Murray M. Mathematical Modeling of Tuberculosis Transmission Dynamics. 2008, 227-243. DOI: 10.1002/9783527611614.ch44.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMathematical modelBehavior of epidemicsSimple mathematical modelEpidemic modelMathematical modelingTuberculosis transmission dynamicsTuberculosis dynamicsDynamic modelNatural courseTB epidemicDynamicsNatural historyInfectious diseasesTransmission dynamicsMycobacterium tuberculosisDiseaseModelQuantitative insightsKey parametersInterventionEpidemicImportant toolComplicating factorsPotential effectsModeling