2024
Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels
Chen K, de Schrijver E, Sivaraj S, Sera F, Scovronick N, Jiang L, Roye D, Lavigne E, Kyselý J, Urban A, Schneider A, Huber V, Madureira J, Mistry M, Cvijanovic I, Gasparrini A, Vicedo-Cabrera A. Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels. Nature Communications 2024, 15: 1796. PMID: 38413648, PMCID: PMC10899213, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Future temperature-related excess mortality under climate change and population aging scenarios in Canada
Hebbern C, Gosselin P, Chen K, Chen H, Cakmak S, MacDonald M, Chagnon J, Dion P, Martel L, Lavigne E. Future temperature-related excess mortality under climate change and population aging scenarios in Canada. Canadian Journal Of Public Health 2023, 114: 726-736. PMID: 37308698, PMCID: PMC10484859, DOI: 10.17269/s41997-023-00782-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPopulation aging scenariosExcess mortalityCoupled Model Inter-comparison Project 6Non-accidental mortalityDemographic changesShared Socioeconomic PathwaysNon-accidental deathsClimate change scenariosTemperature-related mortalityHealth regionsRural areasEstimate associationsCold-related mortalityAging scenariosPopulation growthMortality riskScenarios of population growthSustainable developmentChange scenariosMitigate future climate change impactsGreenhouse gas emission scenariosNet differenceClimate model ensembleEmission climate change scenarioClimate change impactsAssociations between short-term temperature exposure and kidney-related conditions in New York State: The influence of temperature metrics across four dimensions
Chu L, Chen K, Crowley S, Dubrow R. Associations between short-term temperature exposure and kidney-related conditions in New York State: The influence of temperature metrics across four dimensions. Environment International 2023, 173: 107783. PMID: 36841184, DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2023.107783.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2022
High-resolution spatiotemporal modeling of daily near-surface air temperature in Germany over the period 2000–2020
Nikolaou N, Dallavalle M, Stafoggia M, Bouwer L, Peters A, Chen K, Wolf K, Schneider A. High-resolution spatiotemporal modeling of daily near-surface air temperature in Germany over the period 2000–2020. Environmental Research 2022, 219: 115062. PMID: 36535393, DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.115062.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsEnvironmental MonitoringGermanyHot TemperatureHumansLinear ModelsTemperatureUrbanizationConceptsLand surface temperatureSatellite-based land surface temperatureNear-surface air temperatureAir temperatureStation TSurface temperatureMulti-stage modelingTemperatureLow errorHigh resolutionSpatiotemporal coverageHigh accuracyBetter performanceSpatial variabilityWeather stationsModelingSecond stageSpatiotemporal modelingFirst stageMaximum TSpatiotemporal variabilitySub
2021
Association between extreme temperatures and emergency room visits related to mental disorders: A multi-region time-series study in New York, USA
Yoo EH, Eum Y, Roberts JE, Gao Q, Chen K. Association between extreme temperatures and emergency room visits related to mental disorders: A multi-region time-series study in New York, USA. The Science Of The Total Environment 2021, 792: 148246. PMID: 34144243, DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148246.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsEmergency room visitsER visitsMental disordersRoom visitsShort-term exposurePotential effect modificationMental health disordersSpecific mental disordersPositive associationRace/ethnicityEffect modificationExposure-response curvesStratified analysisLag non-linear modelHealth disordersTime-series studySubstance abuseRisk estimatesAnxiety disordersVisitsDisordersMental diseasesCertain populationsSignificant differencesTime trends
2019
Temporal variations in the triggering of myocardial infarction by air temperature in Augsburg, Germany, 1987–2014
Chen K, Breitner S, Wolf K, Hampel R, Meisinger C, Heier M, von Scheidt W, Kuch B, Peters A, Schneider A, Peters A, Schulz H, Schwettmann L, Leidl R, Heier M, Strauch K. Temporal variations in the triggering of myocardial infarction by air temperature in Augsburg, Germany, 1987–2014. European Heart Journal 2019, 40: 1600-1608. PMID: 30859207, DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehz116.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdultAgedEnvironmental ExposureFemaleGermanyHot TemperatureHumansMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionTime FactorsConceptsMyocardial infarctionMI riskCases of MIRisk of MITime-stratified case-crossover analysisPopulation susceptibilityCase-crossover analysisArea of AugsburgCoronary deathDiabetes mellitusNon-significant declineSubgroup analysisRelative riskLag non-linear modelShort-term exposureMI eventsEnvironmental triggersInfarctionRiskFuture studiesSocioeconomic settingsAssociationExposureSusceptibility
2017
Impact of climate change on heat-related mortality in Jiangsu Province, China
Chen K, Horton RM, Bader DA, Lesk C, Jiang L, Jones B, Zhou L, Chen X, Bi J, Kinney PL. Impact of climate change on heat-related mortality in Jiangsu Province, China. Environmental Pollution 2017, 224: 317-325. PMID: 28237309, PMCID: PMC5387110, DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2017.02.011.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCause-specific mortalityChronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseIschemic heart diseaseSpecific public health interventionsObstructive pulmonary diseaseCause of deathPublic health interventionsHeat-related mortalityPulmonary diseaseHeart diseaseHealth burdenExposure-response functionsGlobal-scale General Circulation ModelsHealth interventionsTotal mortalityNonurban residentsMortalityRural countiesDiseaseNonurban areasFuture heat-related mortalityLittle evidenceMortality estimationHigh heat-related mortalityStroke
2016
Urbanization Level and Vulnerability to Heat-Related Mortality in Jiangsu Province, China
Chen K, Zhou L, Chen X, Ma Z, Liu Y, Huang L, Bi J, Kinney PL. Urbanization Level and Vulnerability to Heat-Related Mortality in Jiangsu Province, China. Environmental Health Perspectives 2016, 124: 1863-1869. PMID: 27152420, PMCID: PMC5132638, DOI: 10.1289/ehp204.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsCardiovascular DiseasesChinaHot TemperatureHumansModels, TheoreticalRespiratory Tract DiseasesUrban PopulationUrbanizationConceptsMortality risk
2014
Influence of heat wave definitions to the added effect of heat waves on daily mortality in Nanjing, China
Chen K, Bi J, Chen J, Chen X, Huang L, Zhou L. Influence of heat wave definitions to the added effect of heat waves on daily mortality in Nanjing, China. The Science Of The Total Environment 2014, 506: 18-25. PMID: 25460935, DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.10.092.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDifferent heat wave definitionsDisease mortalityChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortalityIschemic heart disease mortalityLag day 2Heart disease mortalityBurden of diseaseCause-specific mortalityDaily mortalityCardiovascular mortalityStroke mortalityEffect modificationHeat wave definitionsStratified analysisRespiratory mortalityDay 2Total mortalityMortalityConsecutive daysHeat warning systemsLower educationDaysAssociationGood model fitCritical role