2024
Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels
Chen K, de Schrijver E, Sivaraj S, Sera F, Scovronick N, Jiang L, Roye D, Lavigne E, Kyselý J, Urban A, Schneider A, Huber V, Madureira J, Mistry M, Cvijanovic I, Gasparrini A, Vicedo-Cabrera A. Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels. Nature Communications 2024, 15: 1796. PMID: 38413648, PMCID: PMC10899213, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Future temperature-related excess mortality under climate change and population aging scenarios in Canada
Hebbern C, Gosselin P, Chen K, Chen H, Cakmak S, MacDonald M, Chagnon J, Dion P, Martel L, Lavigne E. Future temperature-related excess mortality under climate change and population aging scenarios in Canada. Canadian Journal Of Public Health 2023, 114: 726-736. PMID: 37308698, PMCID: PMC10484859, DOI: 10.17269/s41997-023-00782-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPopulation aging scenariosExcess mortalityCoupled Model Inter-comparison Project 6Non-accidental mortalityDemographic changesShared Socioeconomic PathwaysNon-accidental deathsClimate change scenariosTemperature-related mortalityHealth regionsRural areasEstimate associationsCold-related mortalityAging scenariosPopulation growthMortality riskScenarios of population growthSustainable developmentChange scenariosMitigate future climate change impactsGreenhouse gas emission scenariosNet differenceClimate model ensembleEmission climate change scenarioClimate change impacts
2022
Future temperature-related mortality considering physiological and socioeconomic adaptation: a modelling framework
Rai M, Breitner S, Wolf K, Peters A, Schneider A, Chen K. Future temperature-related mortality considering physiological and socioeconomic adaptation: a modelling framework. The Lancet Planetary Health 2022, 6: e784-e792. PMID: 36208641, DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(22)00195-4.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2018
Future ozone-related acute excess mortality under climate and population change scenarios in China: A modeling study
Chen K, Fiore AM, Chen R, Jiang L, Jones B, Schneider A, Peters A, Bi J, Kan H, Kinney PL. Future ozone-related acute excess mortality under climate and population change scenarios in China: A modeling study. PLOS Medicine 2018, 15: e1002598. PMID: 29969446, PMCID: PMC6029756, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002598.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdolescentAdultAge DistributionAge FactorsAgedAir PollutantsCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathChildChild, PreschoolChinaClimate ChangeEnvironmental MonitoringFemaleHealth StatusHumansInfantInfant, NewbornInhalation ExposureMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalOzonePopulation DynamicsPrognosisRespiratory Tract DiseasesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSeasonsTime FactorsUrban HealthVehicle EmissionsYoung AdultConceptsGlobal chemistry-climate modelChemistry-climate modelOzone-related mortalityRepresentative Concentration PathwaysEmission scenariosHigh global warmingGlobal warmingClimate changeChange scenariosOzone pollutionClimate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration PathwaysEmission scenario RCP8.5Emission scenarios RCP4.5Future ozone projectionsStatistical downscaling approachModerate global warmingOzone precursor emissionsFine spatial resolutionSpatial resolutionHigh ambient ozoneOzone projectionsOzone changesOzone observationsScenario RCP8.5Change projections
2017
Impact of climate change on heat-related mortality in Jiangsu Province, China
Chen K, Horton RM, Bader DA, Lesk C, Jiang L, Jones B, Zhou L, Chen X, Bi J, Kinney PL. Impact of climate change on heat-related mortality in Jiangsu Province, China. Environmental Pollution 2017, 224: 317-325. PMID: 28237309, PMCID: PMC5387110, DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2017.02.011.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCause-specific mortalityChronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseIschemic heart diseaseSpecific public health interventionsObstructive pulmonary diseaseCause of deathPublic health interventionsHeat-related mortalityPulmonary diseaseHeart diseaseHealth burdenExposure-response functionsGlobal-scale General Circulation ModelsHealth interventionsTotal mortalityNonurban residentsMortalityRural countiesDiseaseNonurban areasFuture heat-related mortalityLittle evidenceMortality estimationHigh heat-related mortalityStroke