2024
Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels
Chen K, de Schrijver E, Sivaraj S, Sera F, Scovronick N, Jiang L, Roye D, Lavigne E, Kyselý J, Urban A, Schneider A, Huber V, Madureira J, Mistry M, Cvijanovic I, Gasparrini A, Vicedo-Cabrera A. Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels. Nature Communications 2024, 15: 1796. PMID: 38413648, PMCID: PMC10899213, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2023
Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland
de Schrijver E, Sivaraj S, Raible C, Franco O, Chen K, Vicedo-Cabrera A. Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland. Environmental Research Letters 2023, 18: 094010. PMID: 38854588, PMCID: PMC7616072, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace7e1.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchClimate changeCold-related mortalityTemperature dataPopulation developmentDevelopment scenariosMortality rate projectionsScenarios of climate changeScenarios of global warmingProgressive warmingWarming targetsHeat-related mortalityWarming scenariosMortality impactRCP8.5/SSP5Combination of emissionGlobal warmingWarmingTime series analysisClimateMortality trendsTemporal patternsCold temperaturesBaseline periodSeries analysisProject heatingFuture temperature-related excess mortality under climate change and population aging scenarios in Canada
Hebbern C, Gosselin P, Chen K, Chen H, Cakmak S, MacDonald M, Chagnon J, Dion P, Martel L, Lavigne E. Future temperature-related excess mortality under climate change and population aging scenarios in Canada. Canadian Journal Of Public Health 2023, 114: 726-736. PMID: 37308698, PMCID: PMC10484859, DOI: 10.17269/s41997-023-00782-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPopulation aging scenariosExcess mortalityCoupled Model Inter-comparison Project 6Non-accidental mortalityDemographic changesShared Socioeconomic PathwaysNon-accidental deathsClimate change scenariosTemperature-related mortalityHealth regionsRural areasEstimate associationsCold-related mortalityAging scenariosPopulation growthMortality riskScenarios of population growthSustainable developmentChange scenariosMitigate future climate change impactsGreenhouse gas emission scenariosNet differenceClimate model ensembleEmission climate change scenarioClimate change impacts