Showing 1 of 1 PublicationsModeling a Presidential Prediction MarketChen M, Ingersoll J, Kaplan E. Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market. Management Science 2008, 54: 1381-1394. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1080.0872.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricConceptsProbability distributionOverall probability distributionSecurity pricesProbability modelPrediction marketsGood descriptionSimple diffusion modelDiffusion modelExcellent predictionsModelDownload Full List
Modeling a Presidential Prediction MarketChen M, Ingersoll J, Kaplan E. Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market. Management Science 2008, 54: 1381-1394. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1080.0872.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCitationsAltmetricConceptsProbability distributionOverall probability distributionSecurity pricesProbability modelPrediction marketsGood descriptionSimple diffusion modelDiffusion modelExcellent predictionsModel