2024
Public Health Impact of FDA’s Request for Additional Safety Data on Cytisine for Tobacco Cessation
Reddy K, Paltiel A, Freedberg K, Rigotti N. Public Health Impact of FDA’s Request for Additional Safety Data on Cytisine for Tobacco Cessation. JAMA Health Forum 2024, 5: e242647. PMID: 39177985, PMCID: PMC11344233, DOI: 10.1001/jamahealthforum.2024.2647.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPublic health benefitsCessation medicationsSmoking cessationStop smokingLife yearsLong-term abstinenceCivilian noninstitutionalized adultsTobacco cessation treatmentTobacco cessation medicationsPotential public health benefitsPopulation-level life expectancyLife expectancySmoking cessation medicationsLife expectancy gainsHealth benefitsPotential public health impactPublic health impactSmoking cessation aidTobacco cessationNoninstitutionalized adultsNoninstitutionalized populationMain OutcomesCessation treatmentCessation aidsYear of availabilityTobacco smoking, smoking cessation and life expectancy among people with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in South Africa: a simulation modelling study
Thielking A, Fitzmaurice K, Sewpaul R, Chrysanthopoulou S, Dike L, Levy D, Rigotti N, Siedner M, Wood R, Paltiel A, Freedberg K, Hyle E, Reddy K. Tobacco smoking, smoking cessation and life expectancy among people with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in South Africa: a simulation modelling study. Journal Of The International AIDS Society 2024, 27: e26315. PMID: 38924347, PMCID: PMC11197963, DOI: 10.1002/jia2.26315.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMortality hazard ratioSmoking cessationLife yearsNever smoking statusLife expectancyVirologically suppressed PWHSmoking statusTobacco smokeIntegrate tobacco cessation interventionsMortality riskHazard ratioTobacco cessation interventionsSmoking cessation increasesTobacco-related illnessesImpact of tobacco smokingAntiretroviral therapyMortality risk increaseProportion of deathsChronic respiratory conditionsImpact of smokingCohort of PWHVirological non-suppressionCessation interventionsVirologic suppressionHIV careComparing frequency of booster vaccination to prevent severe COVID-19 by risk group in the United States
Park H, Gonsalves G, Tan S, Kelly J, Rutherford G, Wachter R, Schechter R, Paltiel A, Lo N. Comparing frequency of booster vaccination to prevent severe COVID-19 by risk group in the United States. Nature Communications 2024, 15: 1883. PMID: 38448400, PMCID: PMC10917753, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45549-9.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSevere COVID-19Risk of severe COVID-19COVID-19 booster vaccinationBooster vaccinationHigh-risk populationAbsolute annual riskWaning of protectionImmunocompromised populationsFrequent boostingOlder age groupsAnnual boosterImmune evasionImmunocompromised personsPublic health needsPublic health guidanceRisk groupsFrequent boostersImmune statusRisk factorsFrequency of booster vaccinationHealth needsHealth guidanceCompare frequenciesAge groupsVaccine
2023
Optimizing COVID-19 testing strategies on college campuses: Evaluation of the health and economic costs
Johnson K, Pasco R, Woody S, Lachmann M, Johnson-Leon M, Bhavnani D, Klima J, Paltiel A, Fox S, Meyers L. Optimizing COVID-19 testing strategies on college campuses: Evaluation of the health and economic costs. PLOS Computational Biology 2023, 19: e1011715. PMID: 38134223, PMCID: PMC10773932, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011715.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCost-effectiveness analysis of typhoid conjugate vaccines in an outbreak setting: a modeling study
Phillips M, Antillon M, Bilcke J, Bar-Zeev N, Limani F, Debellut F, Pecenka C, Neuzil K, Gordon M, Thindwa D, Paltiel A, Yaesoubi R, Pitzer V. Cost-effectiveness analysis of typhoid conjugate vaccines in an outbreak setting: a modeling study. BMC Infectious Diseases 2023, 23: 143. PMID: 36890448, PMCID: PMC9993384, DOI: 10.1186/s12879-023-08105-2.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsTyphoid Conjugate VaccineRoutine vaccinationReactive vaccinationVaccination strategiesOutbreak settingsMultidrug-resistant Salmonella typhiQueen Elizabeth Central HospitalTyphoid fever epidemicYears of ageMonths of ageCost-effectiveness analysisWorld Health OrganizationConjugate vaccineCentral HospitalRoutine immunizationVaccine deploymentPreventive vaccinationVaccinationTyphoid feverCost-effective strategyAge 15Health OrganizationFever epidemicAntimicrobial resistanceOutbreak definitionsPatterns of Infectious Disease Associated With Injection Drug Use in Massachusetts
Gonsalves G, Paltiel A, Thornhill T, DeMaria A, Cranston K, Klevens R, Warren J. Patterns of Infectious Disease Associated With Injection Drug Use in Massachusetts. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2023, 76: 2134-2139. PMID: 36757712, PMCID: PMC10273381, DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciad073.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSoft tissue infectionsHuman immunodeficiency virusHepatitis C virusInjection drug useHCV casesInfective endocarditisHIV casesDrug useSubstance use disordersLogistic regression modelsClinical sequalaeSSTI casesPublic health crisisTissue infectionsImmunodeficiency virusDisease AssociatedHIV outbreakAbscess incisionC virusUse disordersInfectious diseasesInfectionMultiple outbreaksMedical proceduresSuch associationsCost‐Effectiveness of Weight‐Loss Interventions Prior to Total Knee Replacement for Patients With Class III Obesity
Kostic AM, Leifer VP, Selzer F, Hunter DJ, Paltiel AD, Chen AF, Robinson MK, Neogi T, Collins JE, Messier SP, Edwards RR, Katz JN, Losina E. Cost‐Effectiveness of Weight‐Loss Interventions Prior to Total Knee Replacement for Patients With Class III Obesity. Arthritis Care & Research 2023, 75: 1752-1763. PMID: 36250415, PMCID: PMC10375659, DOI: 10.1002/acr.25044.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLaparoscopic sleeve gastrectomyClass III obesityIncremental cost-effectiveness ratioTotal knee replacementQuality-adjusted life expectancyWeight loss interventionProbabilistic sensitivity analysesKnee replacementNonsurgical weight loss interventionsLong-term clinical benefitWeight lossKnee osteoarthritis patientsWeight loss strategiesHealth care sector perspectiveOsteoarthritis Policy ModelLifetime medical costsCost-effectiveness ratioWeight loss/Gastric bypassSleeve gastrectomyPrimary outcomeLoss interventionOsteoarthritis patientsClinical benefitHigher complicationsPlanning for Mpox on a College Campus: A Model-Based Decision-Support Tool.
Savinkina A, Chitwood M, Kwon J, Pitzer V, Gonsalves G, Paltiel A. Planning for Mpox on a College Campus: A Model-Based Decision-Support Tool. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2023, 176: 340-347. PMID: 36716454, PMCID: PMC10338074, DOI: 10.7326/m22-2734.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSustained transmissionNational InstituteLow-risk groupHigh-risk populationPopulation of MSMHealth-National InstituteResidential college campusSymptomatic casesHypothetical cohortCongregate settingsStudy populationPreemptive vaccinationReactive vaccinationInfectious diseasesVaccinationDrug abuseBasic reproductive numberFuture outbreaksFrequent physical contactMSMReproductive numberOutbreakDaysMenTimely detection
2022
Cost‐effectiveness of hepatitis C virus test‐and‐treat and risk reduction strategies among men who have sex with men living with HIV in France
Castry M, Cousien A, Champenois K, Supervie V, Velter A, Ghosn J, Yazdanpanah Y, Paltiel A, Deuffic‐Burban S. Cost‐effectiveness of hepatitis C virus test‐and‐treat and risk reduction strategies among men who have sex with men living with HIV in France. Journal Of The International AIDS Society 2022, 25: e26035. PMID: 36451286, PMCID: PMC9712801, DOI: 10.1002/jia2.26035.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHuman immunodeficiency virusIncremental cost-effectiveness ratioHigh-risk groupHepatitis C virusHCV screeningRisk reduction strategiesHCV infectionYearly screeningHepatitis C Virus TestRisk reductionHCV screening practicesNew HCV infectionsHigh-risk individualsRisk reduction interventionsCost-effectiveness ratioCost-effective dependingImmunodeficiency virusC virusScreening practicesLifetime horizonScreening frequencyVirus testReduction interventionsRisk behaviorsBehavioral interventionsDoes gabapentin provide benefit for patients with knee OA? A benefit-harm and cost-effectiveness analysis
Bensen G, Rogers A, Leifer V, Edwards R, Neogi T, Kostic A, Paltiel A, Collins J, Hunter D, Katz J, Losina E. Does gabapentin provide benefit for patients with knee OA? A benefit-harm and cost-effectiveness analysis. Osteoarthritis And Cartilage 2022, 31: 279-290. PMID: 36414225, PMCID: PMC9892279, DOI: 10.1016/j.joca.2022.07.013.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsQuality-adjusted life yearsIncremental cost-effectiveness ratioKnee osteoarthritisUsual careNociplastic painCumulative quality-adjusted life yearsMore quality-adjusted life yearsNeuropathic pain syndromesDirect medical costsOsteoarthritis Policy ModelLifetime direct medical costsCost-effectiveness ratioCost-effectiveness analysisOA carePainDETECT questionnairePain syndromeEstimating deaths averted and cost per life saved by scaling up mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in low-income and lower-middle-income countries in the COVID-19 Omicron variant era: a modelling study
Savinkina A, Bilinski A, Fitzpatrick M, Paltiel AD, Rizvi Z, Salomon J, Thornhill T, Gonsalves G. Estimating deaths averted and cost per life saved by scaling up mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in low-income and lower-middle-income countries in the COVID-19 Omicron variant era: a modelling study. BMJ Open 2022, 12: e061752. PMID: 36100306, PMCID: PMC9471205, DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-061752.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLow-income countriesIncome countriesDeath avertedHigh-income nationsStatistical lifeAvertable deathsIncome nationsCOVID-19 deathsReasonable investmentHigh costKey inputCountriesParameter estimatesAvertedCostSensitivity analysisUniversal vaccinationGlobal vaccinationMRNA COVID-19 vaccinationNationsInvestmentPrimary vaccine seriesLow vaccine effectivenessCOVID-19 vaccinationPublic dataSocietal Cost of Opioid Use in Symptomatic Knee Osteoarthritis Patients in the United States
Huizinga JL, Stanley EE, Sullivan JK, Song S, Hunter DJ, Paltiel AD, Neogi T, Edwards RR, Katz JN, Losina E. Societal Cost of Opioid Use in Symptomatic Knee Osteoarthritis Patients in the United States. Arthritis Care & Research 2022, 74: 1349-1358. PMID: 33629485, PMCID: PMC8382774, DOI: 10.1002/acr.24581.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSymptomatic knee osteoarthritisOpioid use disorderOpioid useMcMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain scoreSymptomatic knee osteoarthritis patientsLong-term pain managementProlonged opioid usePublic health causeStrong opioid useSocietal costsKnee osteoarthritis patientsSocietal economic burdenDirect medical costsMedicare Current Beneficiary SurveyOsteoarthritis Policy ModelCriminal justice costsOUD prevalencePain scoresSD ageOpioid regimensPain managementKnee osteoarthritisOsteoarthritis patientsWestern OntarioMedical costsReliability of patient self-reports to clinician-assigned functional scores of inclusion body myositis
Roy B, Zubair A, Petschke K, O'Connor KC, Paltiel AD, Nowak RJ. Reliability of patient self-reports to clinician-assigned functional scores of inclusion body myositis. Journal Of The Neurological Sciences 2022, 436: 120228. PMID: 35344793, DOI: 10.1016/j.jns.2022.120228.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsIBM functional rating scaleInclusion body myositisBody myositisInterrater correlation coefficientSporadic inclusion body myositisFine motor skillsImpaired ambulationFleiss kappa statisticFunctional scoresHand functionDisease progressionWhite CaucasiansClinical practiceNatural history dataRating ScaleKappa statisticsMyositisScoresMotor skillsIndividual questionsSubstantial agreementCorrelation coefficient analysisReliable indicatorParticipantsAmbulationCost-Effectiveness of Long-Acting Injectable HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis in the United States : A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.
Neilan AM, Landovitz RJ, Le MH, Grinsztejn B, Freedberg KA, McCauley M, Wattananimitgul N, Cohen MS, Ciaranello AL, Clement ME, Reddy KP, Hyle EP, Paltiel AD, Walensky RP. Cost-Effectiveness of Long-Acting Injectable HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis in the United States : A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2022, 175: 479-489. PMID: 35099992, PMCID: PMC9087297, DOI: 10.7326/m21-1548.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCAB-LAHIV preexposure prophylaxisCost-effectiveness analysisPreexposure prophylaxisHigh riskNational InstituteIncremental cost-effectiveness ratioCost-effectiveness ratioBase-case analysisHealth care systemEunice KennedyInjectable cabotegravirPrEP retentionOral PrEPHIV PrEPHIV incidenceBlood InstituteDisoproxil fumarateNational HeartChild healthSide effectsTransgender womenInfectious diseasesPrEPQALY
2021
Responding to SARS-CoV-2 on College Campuses—Only Beginning to Understand What Works and Why
Paltiel AD. Responding to SARS-CoV-2 on College Campuses—Only Beginning to Understand What Works and Why. JAMA Network Open 2021, 4: e2138904. PMID: 34902042, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.38904.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCOVID-19 Testing and Case Rates and Social Contact Among Residential College Students in Connecticut During the 2020-2021 Academic Year
Schultes O, Clarke V, Paltiel AD, Cartter M, Sosa L, Crawford FW. COVID-19 Testing and Case Rates and Social Contact Among Residential College Students in Connecticut During the 2020-2021 Academic Year. JAMA Network Open 2021, 4: e2140602. PMID: 34940864, PMCID: PMC8703252, DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.40602.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsResidential studentsAcademic yearHigher educationResidential college studentsSpring semesterFall semesterStudentsClose interpersonal contactConnecticut CollegeMean contactFall 2020Residential collegeMost institutionsCollege studentsCollegeUniversityCampusSemesterInstitutionsUniversity campusEducationResidence hallsVariety of approachesInterpersonal contactSocial distancing measuresAdventures in COVID-19 Policy Modeling: Education Edition
Gonsalves GS, Salomon JA, Thornhill T, Paltiel AD. Adventures in COVID-19 Policy Modeling: Education Edition. Current HIV/AIDS Reports 2021, 19: 94-100. PMID: 34826066, PMCID: PMC8617548, DOI: 10.1007/s11904-021-00592-9.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchAssessing COVID-19 Prevention Strategies to Permit the Safe Opening of Residential Colleges in Fall 2021
Paltiel AD, Schwartz JL. Assessing COVID-19 Prevention Strategies to Permit the Safe Opening of Residential Colleges in Fall 2021. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2021, 174: m21-2965. PMID: 34461034, PMCID: PMC8422997, DOI: 10.7326/m21-2965.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsVaccine effectivenessVaccination coverageAsymptomatic testingBroad vaccination coverageLess frequent testingCOVID-19 prevention strategiesHigh vaccination ratesBase-case assumptionsFall 2021COVID-19 incidenceUnvaccinated personsVaccination ratesDisease progressionHypothetical cohortEffective vaccineAsymptomatic transmissionPrevention strategiesViral transmissionCumulative casesNonpharmaceutical interventionsDrug abuseCumulative infectionsSafe returnVaccinePopulation coverageReducing the Prevalence of Alcohol-Exposed Pregnancies in the United States: A Simulation Modeling Study
Yaesoubi R, Mahin M, Martin G, Paltiel AD, Sharifi M. Reducing the Prevalence of Alcohol-Exposed Pregnancies in the United States: A Simulation Modeling Study. Medical Decision Making 2021, 42: 217-227. PMID: 34166146, PMCID: PMC8702569, DOI: 10.1177/0272989x211023203.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsAlcohol-exposed pregnancyUnintended pregnancyPublic health effortsAlcohol abstinenceHealth effortsDifferent public health strategiesPublic health strategiesPrevalence of alcoholFamily Growth dataAwareness of pregnancyReproductive ageEffective contraceptionLive birthsContraceptive useUS womenHealth strategiesPregnancyWoman's riskPrevalenceDrinking patternsSexual activityWomenAbstinenceAlcoholic drinksNational surveyMaximizing the Efficiency of Active Case Finding for SARS-CoV-2 Using Bandit Algorithms
Gonsalves GS, Copple JT, Paltiel AD, Fenichel EP, Bayham J, Abraham M, Kline D, Malloy S, Rayo MF, Zhang N, Faulkner D, Morey DA, Wu F, Thornhill T, Iloglu S, Warren JL. Maximizing the Efficiency of Active Case Finding for SARS-CoV-2 Using Bandit Algorithms. Medical Decision Making 2021, 41: 970-977. PMID: 34120510, PMCID: PMC8484027, DOI: 10.1177/0272989x211021603.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsBandit algorithmsMobility dataThompson sampling algorithmWeb appFunctional prototypeTesting resourcesSequential decisionAlgorithmPartial informationSampling algorithmClassic problemDecision scienceSpatial correlationAllocationPoint distanceInformationResourcesDeploymentAppsDecisionsTradeoffHaystackPrototypeObjectsData