2024
Reconstructing 120 years of climate change impacts on Joshua tree flowering
Yoder J, Andrade A, DeFalco L, Esque T, Carlson C, Shryock D, Yeager R, Smith C. Reconstructing 120 years of climate change impacts on Joshua tree flowering. Ecology Letters 2024, 27: e14478. PMID: 39092581, DOI: 10.1111/ele.14478.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsClimate change impactsJoshua treesChange impactsMasting eventsWild populationsClimate change effectsDrought stressFlowering eventsTree flowersFlowersMojave DesertChange effectsAnnual precipitationIncreased variationWeather recordsNegative impactHistorical recordsTreesClimateSystematic datasetPerennialsBiodiversitySpecies
2023
Trends in mosquito species distribution modeling: insights for vector surveillance and disease control
Lippi C, Mundis S, Sippy R, Flenniken J, Chaudhary A, Hecht G, Carlson C, Ryan S. Trends in mosquito species distribution modeling: insights for vector surveillance and disease control. Parasites & Vectors 2023, 16: 302. PMID: 37641089, PMCID: PMC10463544, DOI: 10.1186/s13071-023-05912-z.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSpecies distribution modelsSpecies distribution modelling methodsSpecies distribution modelling literatureDisease vectorsDistribution modelMosquito-borne disease riskInfectious disease vectorsGlobal changeMosquito speciesSpeciesMethodological focusNorth AmericaOutbreak riskDisease riskGeographyMosquitoesModeling effortsRegional modelSystematic reviewEcology
2022
insectDisease: programmatic access to the Ecological Database of the World's Insect Pathogens
Dallas T, Carlson C, Stephens P, Ryan S, Onstad D. insectDisease: programmatic access to the Ecological Database of the World's Insect Pathogens. Ecography 2022, 2022 DOI: 10.1111/ecog.06152.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchInsect host-pathogen interactionsInsect pathogensHost-pathogen associationsSpatial distribution of speciesEcological databasesHost-pathogen interactionsDistribution of speciesBiotic interactionsSpecies interactionsCurated databaseInsect hostsProgrammatic accessCuration effortsR packagePathogensInfection outcomesEcologyDistribution dataSpatial distributionSpeciesInoculationCurationHostInteractionUrban-adapted mammal species have more known pathogens
Albery G, Carlson C, Cohen L, Eskew E, Gibb R, Ryan S, Sweeny A, Becker D. Urban-adapted mammal species have more known pathogens. Nature Ecology & Evolution 2022, 6: 794-801. PMID: 35501480, DOI: 10.1038/s41559-022-01723-0.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsParasite richnessIncreased zoonotic disease riskUrban-adapted speciesWildlife disease dynamicsZoonotic disease riskSampling biasUrban mammalsMammal speciesDocumented parasitismFrequent contact with humansAnthropogenic changesGeographic predictorsParasite discoveryRichnessUrban animalsHost-parasite combinationsInvestigated speciesContact with humansDisease dynamicsZoonotic parasitesUrban environmentSpeciesMounting concernMammalsParasitesMammal virus diversity estimates are unstable due to accelerating discovery effort
Gibb R, Albery G, Mollentze N, Eskew E, Brierley L, Ryan S, Seifert S, Carlson C. Mammal virus diversity estimates are unstable due to accelerating discovery effort. Biology Letters 2022, 18: 20210427. PMID: 34982955, PMCID: PMC8727147, DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2021.0427.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsViral richnessHost speciesReliability of ecological inferenceGeographic sampling biasEvidence of declineViral diversityHost-virus associationsRearrangement of speciesSampling effortVirus discovery ratesEcological inferenceDiscovery effortsMammal hostsWild mammalsDiversity estimatesSampled hostsVirus diversityShort-term changesRichnessSampling biasSpeciesAssociation dataDiscovery rateDiversityCompare inferences
2021
The two extinctions of the Carolina Parakeet Conuropsis carolinensis
BURGIO K, CARLSON C, BOND A, RUBEGA M, TINGLEY M. The two extinctions of the Carolina Parakeet Conuropsis carolinensis. Bird Conservation International 2021, 32: 498-505. DOI: 10.1017/s0959270921000241.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSubspecies C. c.C. c.Conuropsis carolinensisCarolina parakeetThreatened groups of birdsExtinction dateGroups of birdsIsland endemicsExtinct speciesHabitat conversionThreatened groupSpecies extinctionConservation effortsCarolinensisParakeetsSpeciesExtinction processObservational dataClimate changeExtinctionSubspeciesHabitatEndemismLudovicianusConservative solutions
2020
What would it take to describe the global diversity of parasites?
Carlson C, Dallas T, Alexander L, Phelan A, Phillips A. What would it take to describe the global diversity of parasites? Proceedings Of The Royal Society B 2020, 287: 20201841. PMID: 33203333, PMCID: PMC7739500, DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2020.1841.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsParasite diversityParasites of birdsDiversity of parasitesParasites of amphibiansHelminth parasitesHost-parasite associationsParasite collectionGlobal Virome ProjectParasitesHost-parasite networksHuman Genome ProjectUndersampled countriesSample of diversityGenome ProjectMissing speciesBony fishesGlobal diversitySmall hostsSpeciesGlobal changeHelminthsFishDiversityBirdsVertebratesA global parasite conservation plan
Carlson C, Hopkins S, Bell K, Doña J, Godfrey S, Kwak M, Lafferty K, Moir M, Speer K, Strona G, Torchin M, Wood C. A global parasite conservation plan. Biological Conservation 2020, 250: 108596. DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108596.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchZygomorphic flowers have fewer potential pollinator species
Yoder J, Gomez G, Carlson C. Zygomorphic flowers have fewer potential pollinator species. Biology Letters 2020, 16: 20200307. PMID: 32871089, PMCID: PMC7532724, DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2020.0307.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsZygomorphic flowersCo-occurring plantsSpecialized pollinator interactionsEffective pollinatorsPlant visitorsVisitor diversityPollination interactionsPollinator behaviourRisk of extinctionPollinator speciesPollinator lossVisitor speciesPollinationFloral symmetryFlowersZygomorphic speciesPlantsSpeciesWeb asymmetryZygomorphySub-networksDiversityDiversificationCommunityExtinctionSpecies distribution models are inappropriate for COVID-19
Carlson C, Chipperfield J, Benito B, Telford R, O’Hara R. Species distribution models are inappropriate for COVID-19. Nature Ecology & Evolution 2020, 4: 770-771. PMID: 32377007, DOI: 10.1038/s41559-020-1212-8.Peer-Reviewed Original Researchembarcadero: Species distribution modelling with Bayesian additive regression trees in r
Carlson C. embarcadero: Species distribution modelling with Bayesian additive regression trees in r. Methods In Ecology And Evolution 2020, 11: 850-858. DOI: 10.1111/2041-210x.13389.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSpecies distribution modelsBayesian additive regression treesAdditive regression treesDistribution modelVariable selection procedureSets of treesRegression treesAutomated variable selection procedurePosterior distributionDisease transmission riskEcological applicationsEcological problemsRegression tree methodBinary outcomesSelection procedureTreesSpeciesEcologistsProbabilityPriorsClassification probabilitiesIs the New England medicinal leech (Macrobdella sestertia) extinct?
Carlson C, Phillips A. Is the New England medicinal leech (Macrobdella sestertia) extinct? Biological Conservation 2020, 243: 108495. DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108495.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2019
The Mathematics of Extinction Across Scales: From Populations to the Biosphere
Carlson C, Burgio K, Dallas T, Getz W. The Mathematics of Extinction Across Scales: From Populations to the Biosphere. Mathematics Of Planet Earth 2019, 5: 225-264. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-22044-0_9.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchSpecies–area relationshipPopulation viability analysisOccupancy modelsSighting recordsExtinction riskConservation biologistsRare birdsViability analysisExtinction dateExtinction ratesEvolutionary rescueSpix's macawsMass extinctionExtinctionQuantitative challengesChanging environmentEcologistsEcosystemConservationBirdsAnalytical methodBiosphereSpeciesSpixPopulationGlobal estimates of mammalian viral diversity accounting for host sharing
Carlson C, Zipfel C, Garnier R, Bansal S. Global estimates of mammalian viral diversity accounting for host sharing. Nature Ecology & Evolution 2019, 3: 1070-1075. PMID: 31182813, DOI: 10.1038/s41559-019-0910-6.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsVirus speciesHost sharingViral diversitySpecies interaction networksEcological network theorySurveillance of pathogensMacroecological approachVirus diversityInteraction networkEstimate biodiversityAssociation dataSpeciesDiversityHostMammalsHuman healthPandemic potentialVirusGlobal estimatesPathogensNon-linear relationshipBiodiversityPresent estimates
2018
Gauging support for macroecological patterns in helminth parasites
Dallas T, Aguirre A, Budischak S, Carlson C, Ezenwa V, Han B, Huang S, Stephens P. Gauging support for macroecological patterns in helminth parasites. Global Ecology And Biogeography 2018, 27: 1437-1447. DOI: 10.1111/geb.12819.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchHelminth parasitesParasite diversityHelminth parasite speciesOccurrence recordsMacroecological patternsParasite speciesHost body massParasite richnessDiversity-area relationshipHost speciesParasitesHost diversityFree-living speciesHost richnessMacroecological relationshipsLatitudinal gradientSpatial patternsSpeciesAquatic localitiesLocal extinctions of insular avifauna on the most remote inhabited island in the world
Bond A, Carlson C, Burgio K. Local extinctions of insular avifauna on the most remote inhabited island in the world. Journal Of Ornithology 2018, 160: 49-60. DOI: 10.1007/s10336-018-1590-8.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchBiodiversity lossRemote inhabited islandExtinction dateEstimation of extinction datesProbability of persistenceHabitat lossHabitat alterationTristan albatrossesIsland ecosystemsAvian extinctionsHistorical extinctionsHuman persecutionLocal extinctionHistorical ecologyHuman overexploitationPermanent human settlementInsular avifaunasBlack ratsHuman settlementsRattus rattusTristan da CunhaAlbatrossesSpeciesExtinctionIslandsGeoreferenced sighting and specimen occurrence data of the extinct Carolina Parakeet (Conuropsis carolinensis) from 1564 - 1944
Burgio K, Carlson C, Bond A. Georeferenced sighting and specimen occurrence data of the extinct Carolina Parakeet (Conuropsis carolinensis) from 1564 - 1944. Biodiversity Data Journal 2018, 6: e25280. PMID: 29955216, PMCID: PMC6019437, DOI: 10.3897/bdj.6.e25280.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchEstimating the extinction date of the thylacine with mixed certainty data
Carlson C, Bond A, Burgio K. Estimating the extinction date of the thylacine with mixed certainty data. Conservation Biology 2018, 32: 477-483. PMID: 29067718, DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13037.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsExtinction dateCape York PeninsulaThylacinus cynocephalusMarsupial carnivoreWildlife biologyCharismatic taxaThylacineExtinction modelNorthern QueenslandYork PeninsulaCape YorkExtinctionSpeciesTasmaniaCaptive individualsSightWildlifeCarnivoresMegafaunaThylacinusPersistenceTheory of extinctionCapeConservationHunting
2017
Parasite biodiversity faces extinction and redistribution in a changing climate
Carlson C, Burgio K, Dougherty E, Phillips A, Bueno V, Clements C, Castaldo G, Dallas T, Cizauskas C, Cumming G, Doña J, Harris N, Jovani R, Mironov S, Muellerklein O, Proctor H, Getz W. Parasite biodiversity faces extinction and redistribution in a changing climate. Science Advances 2017, 3: e1602422. PMID: 28913417, PMCID: PMC5587099, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1602422.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsChanging climateExtinction ratesClimate-driven habitat lossClimate changeLocal extinction ratesSpatially explicit dataEstimate extinction ratesNegative impacts of climate changeImpacts of climate changeHabitat lossNative speciesEcological consequencesWildlife extinctionTemperate ecosystemsExplicit dataParasite richnessGeographic rangeFace extinctionParasite diversityDisease emergenceIndirect pressureModel projectionsParasite speciesClimateSpeciesLazarus ecology: Recovering the distribution and migratory patterns of the extinct Carolina parakeet
Burgio K, Carlson C, Tingley M. Lazarus ecology: Recovering the distribution and migratory patterns of the extinct Carolina parakeet. Ecology And Evolution 2017, 7: 5467-5475. PMID: 28770082, PMCID: PMC5528215, DOI: 10.1002/ece3.3135.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchCarolina parakeetExtinct speciesNatural history of speciesHistory of speciesSpecies distribution modelsCollecting occurrence dataNiche comparisonsClimatic nicheSubspecific variationWestern subspeciesEastern subspeciesAutecological knowledgeDistribution limitParrot speciesMigratory habitsOccurrence dataGeographic separationIconic speciesParakeetsSpeciesSubspeciesMigratory patternsMuseum collectionsEcologyDistribution model