Testing predictability of disease outbreaks with a simple model of pathogen biogeography
Dallas T, Carlson C, Poisot T. Testing predictability of disease outbreaks with a simple model of pathogen biogeography. Royal Society Open Science 2019, 6: 190883. PMID: 31827836, PMCID: PMC6894608, DOI: 10.1098/rsos.190883.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchPathogen outbreaksCo-occurring pathogensPredicting disease emergencePathogen geographic distributionOutbreak eventsPathogen communitiesHuman infectious diseasesPathogen typesPathogensGeographical distributionBiogeographyTest predictionsDisease emergenceGlobal disease surveillancePairwise dissimilaritiesLeverage informationDisease outbreaksInfluenza pandemicGlobal emergencyPublic health professionalsRe-emergenceGlobal view