Present and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health
Muylaert R, Kingston T, Luo J, Vancine M, Galli N, Carlson C, John R, Rulli M, Hayman D. Present and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health. Proceedings Of The Royal Society B 2022, 289: 20220397. PMID: 35611534, PMCID: PMC9130791, DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2022.0397.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLoss of population connectivityPredictors of species distributionsReservoirs of diverse virusesBiodiversity extinction crisisProject future scenariosModel current distributionHotspots shiftLandscape relationshipsLocal extinctionSpecies distributionHuman encroachmentExtinction crisisSARS-like virusesPopulation connectivityTemperature seasonalityNatural habitatsGlobal changeHost distributionEcological nichesFuture scenariosBat hostsHotspotsDiverse virusesViral spilloverHuman populationOptimising predictive models to prioritise viral discovery in zoonotic reservoirs
Becker D, Albery G, Sjodin A, Poisot T, Bergner L, Chen B, Cohen L, Dallas T, Eskew E, Fagre A, Farrell M, Guth S, Han B, Simmons N, Stock M, Teeling E, Carlson C. Optimising predictive models to prioritise viral discovery in zoonotic reservoirs. The Lancet Microbe 2022, 3: e625-e637. PMID: 35036970, PMCID: PMC8747432, DOI: 10.1016/s2666-5247(21)00245-7.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSystematic model validationTrait-based modelsHost-virus associationsBat hostsHost ecologyWildlife samplesBat speciesNovel hostsSampling recommendationsBridge hostsWildlifeWildlife reservoirsTarget prioritisationBatsStatistical modelMachine learning modelsModel performanceViral discoveryProcess of predictionAnalytical pipelinePrediction modelBetacoronavirusLearning modelsEcologyEnsemble model