2022
Excess tuberculosis cases and deaths following an economic recession in Brazil: an analysis of nationally representative disease registry data
Li Y, de Macedo Couto R, Pelissari DM, Costa Alves L, Bartholomay P, Maciel EL, Sanchez M, Castro MC, Cohen T, Menzies NA. Excess tuberculosis cases and deaths following an economic recession in Brazil: an analysis of nationally representative disease registry data. The Lancet Global Health 2022, 10: e1463-e1472. PMID: 36049488, PMCID: PMC9472578, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(22)00320-5.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNational Notifiable Diseases Information SystemTuberculosis casesTuberculosis deathsExcess casesTuberculosis case ratesTuberculosis transmissionCase ratesNotifiable Diseases Information SystemTuberculosis case notificationDisease registry dataMortality Information SystemMixed effects regression modelsSupplementary Materials sectionFraction of casesTuberculosis controlUS National InstitutesTuberculosis incidenceCase notificationRegistry dataExcess deathsAge groupsDeathPossible explanatory factorsNational InstituteYoung men
2021
The escalating tuberculosis crisis in central and South American prisons
Walter KS, Martinez L, Arakaki-Sanchez D, Sequera VG, Sanabria G, Cohen T, Ko AI, García-Basteiro AL, Rueda ZV, López-Olarte RA, Espinal MA, Croda J, Andrews JR. The escalating tuberculosis crisis in central and South American prisons. The Lancet 2021, 397: 1591-1596. PMID: 33838724, PMCID: PMC9393884, DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)32578-2.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2020
Impact of Effective Global Tuberculosis Control on Health and Economic Outcomes in the United States
Menzies NA, Bellerose M, Testa C, Swartwood N, Malyuta Y, Cohen T, Marks SM, Hill AN, Date AA, Maloney SA, Bowden SE, Grills AW, Salomon JA. Impact of Effective Global Tuberculosis Control on Health and Economic Outcomes in the United States. American Journal Of Respiratory And Critical Care Medicine 2020, 202: 1567-1575. PMID: 32645277, PMCID: PMC7706168, DOI: 10.1164/rccm.202003-0526oc.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsGlobal TB controlTB incidence trendsEnd TB StrategyTB controlTB casesIncidence trendsEconomic burdenWorld Health Organization's End TB StrategyTB incidence rateGlobal tuberculosis controlHigh-burden countriesTotal economic burdenMajor health benefitsBase case scenarioBirth countryTB incidenceTB epidemiologyTuberculosis controlTB StrategyIncidence rateHealthcare costsIncidence reductionInfection riskTuberculosisSubstantial healthCost-effectiveness of post-treatment follow-up examinations and secondary prevention of tuberculosis in a high-incidence setting: a model-based analysis
Marx FM, Cohen T, Menzies NA, Salomon JA, Theron G, Yaesoubi R. Cost-effectiveness of post-treatment follow-up examinations and secondary prevention of tuberculosis in a high-incidence setting: a model-based analysis. The Lancet Global Health 2020, 8: e1223-e1233. PMID: 32827484, PMCID: PMC7549318, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(20)30227-8.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsIsoniazid preventive therapySecondary preventive therapyHigh-incidence settingsPost-treatment followPreventive therapyTuberculosis controlTuberculosis incidenceTreatment completionTuberculosis case findingOverall disease burdenHigh tuberculosis incidenceTuberculosis-endemic settingHigh-incidence communityFirst yearHealth system costsRecurrent tuberculosisSecondary preventionAnnual followTuberculosis treatmentDisease burdenHigh riskCase findingSingle followSuburban Cape TownPreventive interventions
2018
Internal migration and transmission dynamics of tuberculosis in Shanghai, China: an epidemiological, spatial, genomic analysis
Yang C, Lu L, Warren JL, Wu J, Jiang Q, Zuo T, Gan M, Liu M, Liu Q, DeRiemer K, Hong J, Shen X, Colijn C, Guo X, Gao Q, Cohen T. Internal migration and transmission dynamics of tuberculosis in Shanghai, China: an epidemiological, spatial, genomic analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2018, 18: 788-795. PMID: 29681517, PMCID: PMC6035060, DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(18)30218-4.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChinaDisease Transmission, InfectiousFemaleGenotypeHumansMaleMiddle AgedMinisatellite RepeatsMolecular EpidemiologyMycobacterium tuberculosisPolymorphism, Single NucleotideRural PopulationSpatial AnalysisTransients and MigrantsTuberculosisUrban PopulationWhole Genome SequencingConceptsM tuberculosisEpidemiological dataSingle nucleotide polymorphismsCulture-positive Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolatesCulture-positive tuberculosisPopulation-based studyMycobacterium tuberculosis isolatesTransmission dynamicsTime of infectionDynamics of tuberculosisTuberculosis controlUS National InstitutesTuberculosis isolatesMore effective interventionsProximity of residenceRecent transmissionPatient's homeTuberculosisLocal transmission dynamicsEffective interventionsLocal transmissionLocal incidenceNational InstituteVNTR patternsWhole-genome sequencingTuberculosis control interventions targeted to previously treated people in a high-incidence setting: a modelling study
Marx FM, Yaesoubi R, Menzies NA, Salomon JA, Bilinski A, Beyers N, Cohen T. Tuberculosis control interventions targeted to previously treated people in a high-incidence setting: a modelling study. The Lancet Global Health 2018, 6: e426-e435. PMID: 29472018, PMCID: PMC5849574, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(18)30022-6.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHigh-incidence settingsIsoniazid preventive therapyPreventive therapyTuberculosis treatmentActive casesHIV prevalenceTuberculosis controlControl interventionsIncident tuberculosis casesPrevious tuberculosis treatmentTuberculosis control interventionsTB case notificationHigh-risk groupTransmission dynamic modelTuberculosis deathsHigh tuberculosisRecurrent diseasePrevalent tuberculosisTuberculosis casesTuberculosis incidenceCase notificationTreatment outcomesTuberculosis morbidityTuberculosis epidemicAdditional interventions
2017
Catastrophic costs potentially averted by tuberculosis control in India and South Africa: a modelling study
Verguet S, Riumallo-Herl C, Gomez GB, Menzies NA, Houben RMGJ, Sumner T, Lalli M, White RG, Salomon JA, Cohen T, Foster N, Chatterjee S, Sweeney S, Baena IG, Lönnroth K, Weil DE, Vassall A. Catastrophic costs potentially averted by tuberculosis control in India and South Africa: a modelling study. The Lancet Global Health 2017, 5: e1123-e1132. PMID: 29025634, PMCID: PMC5640802, DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(17)30341-8.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMultidrug-resistant tuberculosisEnd TB StrategyTuberculosis servicesCatastrophic costsTB StrategyDrug-sensitive tuberculosisCatastrophic financial burdenAnnual household incomeTuberculosis careTuberculosis controlEconomic burdenTuberculosisIntervention effectsMelinda Gates FoundationHousehold incomeIndirect costsFinancial burdenExpansion of accessPatientsTotal annual household incomeTreatmentCareGates FoundationBurdenIntervention scenarios
2014
On the spread and control of MDR-TB epidemics: An examination of trends in anti-tuberculosis drug resistance surveillance data
Cohen T, Jenkins HE, Lu C, McLaughlin M, Floyd K, Zignol M. On the spread and control of MDR-TB epidemics: An examination of trends in anti-tuberculosis drug resistance surveillance data. Drug Resistance Updates 2014, 17: 105-123. PMID: 25458783, PMCID: PMC4358299, DOI: 10.1016/j.drup.2014.10.001.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMDR-TBTB casesResistant tuberculosisAbsolute burdenSurveillance dataMDR-TB epidemicDrug-resistant TBMultidrug-resistant tuberculosisDrug-resistant tuberculosisNotified TB casesResistance surveillance dataSufficient surveillance dataWorld Health OrganizationBurden settingsTuberculosis controlUnadjusted analysesSignificant linear trendSurveillance indicatorsRobust surveillance systemHealth OrganizationTuberculosisBurdenSurveillance systemSettingLinear trendHow can mathematical models advance tuberculosis control in high HIV prevalence settings?
Houben RM, Dowdy DW, Vassall A, Cohen T, Nicol MP, Granich RM, Shea JE, Eckhoff P, Dye C, Kimerling ME, White RG, . How can mathematical models advance tuberculosis control in high HIV prevalence settings? The International Journal Of Tuberculosis And Lung Disease 2014, 18: 509-514. PMID: 24903784, PMCID: PMC4436821, DOI: 10.5588/ijtld.13.0773.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsHigh HIV prevalence settingsHIV prevalence settingsTB-HIVTuberculosis controlPrevalence settingsHigh human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalenceHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalenceTB ModellingHealth policy makersDifficult diagnosisDisease progressionHigh riskHigh mortalityHealth systemNatural progressionVirus prevalencePublic healthProgressionMortalityPrevalenceSettingAnalysis ConsortiumDiagnosisExpert discussion
2013
Community-Wide Isoniazid Preventive Therapy Drives Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Model-Based Analysis
Mills HL, Cohen T, Colijn C. Community-Wide Isoniazid Preventive Therapy Drives Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Model-Based Analysis. Science Translational Medicine 2013, 5: 180ra49. PMID: 23576815, PMCID: PMC3714172, DOI: 10.1126/scitranslmed.3005260.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsDrug-resistant TBIPT interventionDrug-sensitive infectionsIsoniazid-resistant TBHIV/TBRisk of progressionHigh HIV prevalenceDrug-resistant diseaseIsoniazid-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosisSymptom-free individualsSignificant elevated riskDrug-resistant strainsWorld Health OrganizationActive TBTB controlResistant tuberculosisHIV prevalenceTuberculosis controlIPT programElevated riskHost immunityMycobacterium tuberculosisHealth OrganizationSelective suppressionIntervention
2008
Modeling the effects of strain diversity and mechanisms of strain competition on the potential performance of new tuberculosis vaccines
Cohen T, Colijn C, Murray M. Modeling the effects of strain diversity and mechanisms of strain competition on the potential performance of new tuberculosis vaccines. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America 2008, 105: 16302-16307. PMID: 18849476, PMCID: PMC2570977, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0808746105.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsNew tuberculosis vaccinesTuberculosis vaccineBacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccinationCurrent vaccine candidatesM. tuberculosis strainsPerformance of vaccinesTuberculosis infectionTuberculosis controlStrain diversityMass vaccinationVaccine candidatesNew vaccinesTuberculosis strainsStrain replacementVaccineM. tuberculosisMycobacterium tuberculosisTransmission of diseaseVaccinationTuberculosisInfectionDiseaseStrain specificityPotential effectsMorbidity
2007
Emergent heterogeneity in declining tuberculosis epidemics
Colijn C, Cohen T, Murray M. Emergent heterogeneity in declining tuberculosis epidemics. Journal Of Theoretical Biology 2007, 247: 765-774. PMID: 17540410, PMCID: PMC2652758, DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2007.04.015.Peer-Reviewed Original Research